Updated Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury Odds, Fight Date: Fury the Favorite in December Bout

Updated Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury Odds, Fight Date: Fury the Favorite in December Bout article feature image

Jeff Kravitz/Getty Images for Triller. Pictured: Jake Paul

Jake Paul’s next fight is officially on the books.

The YouTube star turned pro fighter will face Tommy Fury on Dec. 18 in Tampa.

Fury, 22, is the half-brother of heavyweight champion Tyson Fury, who just retained his lineal heavyweight title with a win over American Deontay Wilder.

Fury is a -150 favorite (a $15 bet wins $10) at BetMGM on the three-way line. MGM lists the draw as an option, which means a bet on Paul or Fury would result in a loss if the fight ends in a draw.

MGM’s two-way line has Fury at -175 ($17.50 wins $10) and Paul at +125 ($10 wins $12.50). A draw would result in bets being refunded in that scenario.

Updated Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury Odds

Odds via BetMGM. Probability with the juice removed. Confused? Learn more about reading odds here.

Two-Way Line

On a two-way moneyline, a draw will result in a push and bets will be refunded.

Fighter Moneyline Probability
Jake Paul +125 41.12%
Tommy Fury -175 58.88%

Three-Way Line

Fighter Moneyline Probability
Jake Paul +150 36.67%
Tommy Fury -150 55%
Draw +1000 8.33%

Tommy Fury is 7-0 with four stoppages in his professional career, but has yet to fight beyond five rounds. And like Paul, he’s got other interests — he paused his fighting career to appear on British reality TV show Love Island in 2019.

Fury fought on the undercard of Paul vs. former UFC star Tyron Woodley in August. He bested Paul’s sparring partner Anthony Taylor by unanimous decision in a four-round bout.

There’s a lot on the line for these two. Last month, Tyson Fury joked that Tommy should changed his name to Tommy Fumbles if he lost a fight to Paul. And Paul offered those terms — if he wins, Fury has to change his name. If Fury wins, Paul will pay him an extra $500,000 from his fight purse.


Paul has been favored in each of his last two fights. This is the first time he’ll be an underdog in his career, should the market remain this way with 50 days left until the fight.

When Is Paul vs. Fury?

Paul and Fury will fight on Dec. 18 at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla.

Paul vs. Fury Rules, Format

The fight will be a sanctioned bout contested at 192 pounds. It’s set for eight, three-minute rounds.

The fight will be promoted by Paul’s Most Valuable Promotions, along with Showtime Sports and Tony Holden Productions.

Paul Fight History

Paul’s opponents have been an eclectic mix, including two former MMA stars, a YouTuber and former NBA guard Nate Robinson. The one thing missing is an actual fighter.

Both Woodley and Ben Askren, wrestling teammates at the University of Missouri and eventual MMA champs, had never boxed professionally until fighting Paul.

Paul stopped the fight against Askren in Round 1 via TKO, and fought to a split decision with Woodley several months later, though Woodley seemed content not to throw many punches.

Date Opponent Win by
Dec. 2021 Tommy Fury TBD
Aug. 2021 Tyron Woodley SD
April 2021 Ben Askren TKO
Nov. 2020 Nate Robinson KO
Jan. 2020 AnEsonGib TKO

Fury Fight History

Fury’s professional wins don’t look very impressive, but he’s got the pedigree from his half-brother, Tyson, and some actual boxing experience. That’s something none of Paul’s previous opponents had.

This will be Fury’s fourth fight in 2021, though none went longer than four rounds.

Date Opponent Win by
Dec. 2021 Jake Paul N/A
Aug. 2021 Anthony Taylor UD
June 2021 Jordan Grant PTS
Feb. 2021 Scott Williams TKO
Nov. 2020 Genadij Krajevskij KO
Dec. 2019 Przemyslaw Binienda TKO
March 2019 Callum Ide KO
Dec. 2018 Evgenijs Andrejevs PTS

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