Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Odds
| Fighter | Odds to Win | Chance to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Joshua | -1200 | 86.6% |
| Jake Paul | +600 | 13.40% |
Odds via bet365 at 9:30 a..m. ET on Friday. The "chance to win" percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vig removed. Learn more about American odds here or use our betting calculator to calculate your payouts.
Anthony Joshua remains a huge favorites over Jake Paul for Friday night's heavyweight bout in Miami. We'll be tracking any line movement throughout the day, with the undercard scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET on Netflix.
Joshua, the former two-time heavyweight world champion, last fought in September of 2024, a loss to Daniel Dubois with the IBF heavyweight title on the line. Paul is taking a big step up in class — it's the first time he's been an underdog after fighting a mixed bag of retired UFC fighters, YouTubers, bare-knuckle boxes and Mike Tyson throughout his 13-fight career. His only loss came to Tommy Fury in a split decision in 2023.
Legal sportsbooks are offering odds on this fight (they don't always for these celebrity/YouTuber matches, and many didn't for Paul vs. Tyson last fall).
If you're not in a legal betting state or your state is not offering this fight at your normal sportsbooks, you can use a DFS site, prediction market or a social sportsbook to play this fight:
What Prop Bets Are Available?
At BetMGM, DraftKings and other legal U.S. operators, you can bet a number of props, including:
- Method of victory (Paul by KO/TKO/DQ is +1400, Joshua by the same is -400)
- Total rounds o/u 3.5 (over +100, under -138)
- Will the fight go the distance (+350 yes, -550 no)
- Anthony Joshua to score a knockdown (-500)
- Punches landed
Fight Rules
Unlike Paul vs. Tyson, this is a pretty normal fight, and it's sanctioned by the Florida Athletic Commission, which is why sportsbooks can offer odds on it.
- Officially sanctioned as a professional fight
- 3-minute rounds
- 10 rounds total
- 10-ounce gloves
Where Can I Bet Joshua vs. Paul?
There are four legal options to bet this fight.
1. Traditional online sportsbooks: Operators like DraftKings and FanDuel are live in 20+ states, with operators like bet365 in 10+ states. Some states like New Jersey have almost 20 sportsbook options; others like Oregon, New Hampshire or Rhode Island have just 1-2.
2. Prediction markets: You can trade the outcome of this fight on prediction markets like Kalshi or Polymarket in all 50 states.
3. DFS Pick'em: DFS pick'em is a new form of daily fantasy sports that isn't based on a salary cap, but instead requires you to build a lineup based on player stats. So for this fight, you can choose stats like total punches landed, fight time, total knockdowns, etc., and put them together for a bigger payout.
4. Sweepstakes sportsbooks: These platforms look like a traditional sportsbook but the mechanism to get money on the platform is different. You make a purchase, are gifted an on-site currency, and then can make picks with that on-site currency.
Fliff (available in 40+ states) is the leader in this space; Rebet and Thrillzz are also options, depending on where you're located.
