For most artists, having a song in the Billboard Top 10 is an all-time achievement. For Drake, the question is not if, it's how many.
The gargantuan release of three surprise albums — Iceman, Habibti and Maid of Honour — on May 15 shook the entertainment industry to the core. Now, Polymarket traders are trying to figure out how many of the 43 tracks will top the Billboard charts by the end of May.
Drake Songs on Billboard's Top 10
The market for “How many spots will Drake have in the Billboard Top 10” is gaining momentum, and currently, the vast majority of traders believe nine songs will make the cut.
The “Yes” contract for 10 charting songs is significantly cheaper, as most traders seem to believe that monopolizing the Billboard Top 10 is a long shot, even for the Canadian rapper. However, the sheer amount of music that the 6 God has released is likely to secure him several spots, which is why this contract appears to be notably undervalued. This has created an interesting opportunity for traders who have confidence in Drake’s star power.
Fans knew that the main project, Iceman, was coming, but Drake surprised everyone by dropping two additional albums. The massive 43-track drop immediately broke records and propelled the singer to become Spotify’s most-streamed artist in a single day. Combined, the triple-drop brought in approximately 197 million streams in the first 24 hours.
The last artist to monopolize the Billboard Top 10 was Taylor Swift — in October 2025 with the release of Life of a Showgirl. Drake came very close to that massive feat in 2021, when nine songs from Certified Lover Boy simultaneously cracked the Top 10. This massive release appears to be his strongest bid yet for complete Billboard Top 10 domination.
Things to Keep in Mind
To evaluate the charting probabilities of Drake’s triple release, it's important to have a fundamental grasp of each album.
- Iceman: The main project, a rap-heavy album with guest appearances from 21 Savage, Future, and Molly Santana.
- Habibti: This leans more towards R&B and is the shortest of the bunch, with guest appearances from Leo Shimmy and OVO Sound regular PartyNextDoor.
- Maid of Honour: Am upbeat, dancefloor-focused album with guest appearances from Sexyy Red and Central Cee.
So far, Iceman is leading the pack. As the heavily anticipated rap project of the trio, it's no surprise that it did the heavy lifting on opening day. The biggest individual track pushing Iceman to the top is the opener, "Make Them Cry," which debuted at No. 1 globally.
Competition is also a significant element to consider. While high-profile May releases from artists like Miley Cyrus and Kali Uchis are attracting considerable attention, their Billboard success is on a different level than Drake’s. To date, the Canadian rapper has achieved 81 top-10 hits on the Billboard Hot 100 chart, while Cyrus has earned only 11. It's impressive, but far from Drake's star power.
How will the market settle?
The market will settle based on the Billboard Hot 100 chart released for the week of May 30. To qualify, the songs must credit Drake as an artist, not just as a producer.
