How Many Billboard Top 10 Spots Will Drake Claim?

How Many Billboard Top 10 Spots Will Drake Claim? article feature image
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Photo Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Drake is no stranger to the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10. In fact, he's had 81 songs in this ranking, surpassing the previous record holder, Madonna (38), by a large margin.

Right now, Drake is in a "quiet" phase relative to his usual standards, coming off the success of his 2025 collaborative project Some Sexy Songs 4 U and the 2025 summer hit "Nokia."

After an elaborate Toronto rollout — complete with real blocks of ice and a high-profile courtside teaser — hip-hop fans have taken to Polymarket to speculate on Drake's position in the Billboard top 10.

Drake's Iceman Announcement

Drake has officially announced that his ninth studio album, "Iceman," will be released on May 15, 2026. The announcement was preceded by a promotional campaign in Toronto, featuring real blocks of ice with the release date inside.

Drake is expected to debut at #1 for the week of May 25, 2026. With Iceman reportedly exploring "vulnerable" and "inward-looking" themes, he appears to be pursuing the same Scorpion-era dominance.

Billboard Top 10: What Songs Will Make It?

Weeks leading up to the release of Iceman will drive suspense, leading to the potential for several songs to land in the Billboard Top 10.

Drake is poised to land on the Billboard charts, but which tracks will make the top 10? And how many of them will there be? When you sign up at Polymarket for the first time, you can Deposit $20 Get $20 Bonus, Use our Code to Skip the Waitlist!

What Polymarket Traders Are Predicting

Feb 14, 2016; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Rapper, singer, songwriter, record producer and actor Drake looks on during player introductions prior to the NBA All Star Game at Air Canada Centre.
Photo Credit: Peter Llewellyn-USA TODAY Sports

According to Polymarket data, here are the number of tracks people are predicting will show up in the Billboard Top 10 for May:

  • 0 – 12%
  • 1 – 15%
  • 2 – 47%
  • 3 – 29%
  • 4 – 24%
  • 5 – 28%
  • – 45%
  • – 47%
  • – 45%
  • – 45%
  • 10 – 45%

These percentages are subject to change based on tracklist, track number, and what people decide to trade on.

This market will resolve based on how many songs by or featuring Drake appear in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of May 30, 2026.

A qualifying song must credit Drake as an artist.

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