Updated 2026 Oscar Odds | Favorites, Longshots, More

Updated 2026 Oscar Odds | Favorites, Longshots, More article feature image
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Robert Deutsch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images. Pictured: A row of Oscars statuettes

The 2026 Academy Awards are tonight, Sunday, March 15, at the Dolby Theater in Hollywood. The ceremony will be broadcast on ABC, and Conan O'Brien will host for the second consecutive year.

Below you will find full betting odds and 2026 Oscars favorites.

If you want to get in on the action and make a prediction about the Academy Awards, Kalshi allows users in most of the 50 U.S. states to make predictions and win real money. We wrote a full explainer on how it works here and have a Kalshi promo code to help you get started.

Updated 2026 Oscar Odds

Best Picture Odds

One Battle After Another is the betting favorite to win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars at 75%.

Next up on the odds board is Sinners at 22% to win Best Picture.

There are two long-shots above 1% to win Best Picture, but they're still significant underdogs, as Hamnet is 3% and Marty Supreme is 2% to win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars.

The other nominees at 1% include Bugonia, F1, Frankenstein, The Secret Agent, Sentimental Value, and Train Dreams.

Best Director Odds

One Battle After Another director Paul Thomas Anderson is the betting favorite to win Best Director at the 2026 Oscars at 92%.

Next up on the odds board is Ryan Coogler (Sinners) at 9% to win Best Director.

The other three nominees for Best Director at the 2026 Oscars are extreme long-shots. That includes Chloe Zhao (Hamnet), Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value), and Josh Safdie (Marty Supreme).

Best Actor Odds

Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) is the betting favorite to win Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars at 48%.

Next up on the odds board is Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) at 37% to win Best Actor.

The other three nominees for Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars are long-shots. That includes Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another), Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent), and Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon).

Best Actress Odds

Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) is the betting favorite to win Best Actress at the 2026 Oscars at 97%.

Buckley is obviously such a strong favorite that she renders the other four nominees as extreme long-shots. The only other nominee trading above 1% is Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) at 3%.

The other nominees include Emma Stone (Bugonia), Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue), and Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value).

Best Supporting Actor Odds

Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) is the betting favorite to win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 Oscars at 68%.

Next up on the odds board is Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) at 20% to win Best Supporting Actor, followed by Delroy Lindo (Sinners) at 12%.

Long-shot nominees to win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 Oscars include Benicio del Toro (One Battle After Another) and Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein).

Best Supporting Actress Odds

Amy Madigan (Weapons) is the betting favorite to win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 Oscars at 47%.

Close behind on the odds board is Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) at 27%. She's followed by Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners), who is at 19%.

The long-shot nominees for Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 Oscars are a duo from the same film, as Sentimental Value stars Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas and Elle Fanning check in at 5% and 1%, respectively.

Best Original Screenplay Odds

Sinners is the overwhelming favorite to win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 Oscars at 97%.

Next up on the odds board behind Sinners is Marty Supreme at 3%, and that's followed by Sentimental Value at 2%.

Every film other than Sinners is a long-shot in this category, but bringing up the rear are It Was Just an Accident and Blue Moon, which are both at 1% to win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 Oscars.

Best Adapted Screenplay Odds

One Battle After Another is the overwhelming favorite to win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2026 Oscars at 96%.

Next up on the odds board behind One Battle After Another is Hamnet at 4%.

Every film other than One Battle After Another is a long-shot in this category, but bringing up the rear are Train Dreams, Frankenstein, and Bugonia, all of which are at 1% to win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 Oscars.

Best Animated Feature Odds

KPop Demon Hunters is a strong favorite to win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Oscars at 93%.

Next up on the odds board behind KPop Demon Hunters is Zootopia 2, which is at 7%.

The long-shot nominees to win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Oscars are Arco at 2%, and Elio and Little Amelie or the Character of Rain, which are both at 1%.

Best International Feature Odds

Sentimental Value is the favorite to win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars at 67%.

Next up on the odds board is The Secret Agent, which is at 29%. That's followed by It Was Just an Accident at 7%.

The long-shot nominees to win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars are The Voice of Hind Rajab and Sirat, which are both at 2%.

Best Documentary Feature Odds

The Perfect Neighbor is the favorite to win Best Documentary Feature at the 2026 Oscars at 64%.

Next up on the odds board is Mr. Nobody Against Putin at 20%. That's followed by Come See Me In The Good Light at 10%.

The last two nominees on the odds board are The Alabama Solution at 6%, and the longest shot is Cutting Through Rocks, which is listed at 3%.

Best Documentary Short Odds

All the Empty Rooms is the betting favorite to win Best Documentary Short at the 2026 Oscars at 73%.

Next up on the odds board is Armed Only With a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud at 12%. That's followed by The Devil Is Busy at 10%.

The last two nominees for Best Documentary Short at the 2026 Oscars are Perfectly a Strangeness at 6%, and finally Children No More: "Were and Are Gone" at 1%.

Best Live Action Short Odds

Two People Exchanging Saliva is the betting favorite to win Best Live Action Short at the 2026 Oscars at 46%.

Next up on the odds board is A Friend of Dorothy at 24%. That's followed by The Singers, which is listed at 21%.

The last two nominees for Best Live Action Short at the 2026 Oscars are Jane Austen's Period Drama at 9% and Butcher's Stain at 3%.

Best Animated Short Odds

Butterfly is the favorite to win Best Animated Short at the 2026 Oscars at 50%.

Next up on the odds board is The Girl Who Cried Pearls at 30%. That's followed by Retirement Plan, which is at 16%.

The last two nominees for Best Animated Short at the 2026 Oscars are Forevergreen at 7%, followed by The Three Sisters, which is listed at 2%.

Best Original Score Odds

Sinners is a heavy favorite to win Best Original Score at the 2026 Oscars at 94%.

Next up on the odds board is One Battle After Another, which is listed at 6%.

The other three nominees are all extreme long-shots, as Hamnet, Bugonia, and Frankenstein are all listed at 1% to win Best Original Score at the 2026 Oscars.

Best Original Song Odds

Golden from KPop Demon Hunters is favored to win Best Original Song at the 2026 Oscars at 86%.

Next up on the odds board behind Golden is the song I Lied To You from Sinners, which is at 14%.

The other three nominees for Best Original Song at the 2026 Oscars are all long-shots, that includes Dear Me from Diane Warren: Relentless, Sweet Dreams of Joy from Viva Verdi, and Team Dreams from Train Dreams, all of which are at 1%.

Best Casting Odds

Sinners is favored to win Best Casting at the 2026 Oscars at 73%.

Next up on the odds board behind Sinners is One Battle After Another, which is at 6%. That's followed by The Secret Agent at 5%.

The long-shot nominee to win Best Casting at the 2026 Oscars is Hamnet, which is at 2% odds.

Best Sound Odds

F1 is favored to win Best Sound at the 2026 Oscars at 78%.

Next up on the odds board is Sinners at 16%. That's followed by Sirat, which is listed at 6%.

The long-shot nominees to win Best Sound at the 2026 Oscars are Frankenstein and One Battle After Another, which both come in at 1%.

Best Production Design Odds

Frankenstein is a strong favorite to win Best Production Design at the 2026 Oscars at 91%.

Next up on the odds board behind Frankenstein is Sinners at 8%.

Long-shot nominees for Best Production Design at the 2026 Oscars include Hamnet, Marty Supreme, and One Battle After Another, all of which are at 2%.

Best Cinematography Odds

One Battle After Another is the favorite to win Best Cinematography at the 2026 Oscars at 76%.

Next up on the odds board behind One Battle After Another is Sinners, which is at 21%. That's followed by Train Dreams at 4%.

The long-shot nominees to win Best Cinematography at the 2026 Oscars are Frankenstein and Marty Supreme, which are both at 1%.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling Odds

Frankenstein is a strong favorite to win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 2026 Oscars at 93%.

Next up on the odds board behind Frankenstein is Sinners at 8%. That's followed by Kokuho, which is at 2%.

Long-shot nominees for Best Makeup and Hairstyling  at the 2026 Oscars include The Ugly Stepsister and The Smashing Machine, both at 1%.

Best Costume Design Odds

Frankenstein is a strong favorite to win Best Costume Design at the 2026 Oscars at 92%.

Next up on the odds board behind Frankenstein is Sinners at 7%. That's followed by Marty Supreme, which is at 3%.

Long-shot nominees for Best Costume Design at the 2026 Oscars include Avatar: Fire and Ash and Hamnet, both at 1%.

Best Film Editing Odds

One Battle After Another is the favorite to win Best Film Editing at the 2026 Oscars at 81%.

Next up on the odds board is F1, which is at 14%. That's followed by Sinners at 8%.

The long-shot nominees to win Best Film Editing at the 2026 Oscars are Marty Supreme at 2% and Sentimental Value at 1%.

Best Visual Effects Odds

Avatar: Fire and Ash is a strong favorite to win Best Visual Effects at the 2026 Oscars at 93%.

Next up on the odds board behind Avatar: Fire and Ash are Sinners and F1, which come in at 5% and 4%, respectively.

The long-shot nominees to win Best Visual Effects at the 2026 Oscars are Jurassic World Rebirth and The Lost Bus, which are both at 1%.

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About the Author

Collin Whitchurch is the manager of cross-platform content at Action Network, working directly with on-air talent, editors, and producers on efficient prioritization of coverage across the editorial, video, and audio mediums. Prior to his current role, Collin was the senior MLB editor at Action, managing the day-to-day content produced about baseball.

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