One of the Premier League's most iconic matchups is set for Sunday, May 3, as Manchester United (17-7-10) hosts Liverpool (17-10-7) at Old Trafford in England. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 a.m. ET.
This historic rivalry continues with both teams looking to confirm their Champions League spots for next season.
The Red Devils are favored at a +130 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+115o / -160u) goals.
Let’s get into our Liverpool vs Manchester United prediction.
Liverpool vs Manchester United Prediction
Our main predictions for this matchup are Over 2.5 goals and both teams getting on the scoresheet. This is based on the offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities these clubs have displayed throughout the season.
Liverpool vs Manchester United Odds
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -175 | 3.5 115o / -160u | +180 |
| Man U Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +120 | 3.5 115o / -160u | +130 |
Liverpool vs Manchester United Picks
- Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score (-145, BetMGM)
- Both Teams To Score in the 2nd Half (+145, BetMGM)
This game is a battle for position in the Premier League standings between two teams that have prioritized offense over defense.
Manchester United and Liverpool possess the weakest defensive records among the top six teams, yet they also feature top-four attacks.
The statistics support a high-scoring affair. Both teams have scored in 74% of United's games this season, while 62% of their matches have also gone over 2.5 goals. Liverpool's numbers are similar, with both teams scoring in 65% of their league games and the total going over 2.5 goals in 62% of them.
The head-to-head history reinforces this trend: the last five meetings have all exceeded 2.5 goals, with four also featuring both sides scoring.
Manchester United has been particularly threatening in the second half under Michael Carrick, scoring after the break in 10 of their 13 matches since he took charge. Liverpool also finds the net frequently in the second half, doing so in eight of its last 10 league games.
Given that neither team is likely to play for a draw, the game should remain open, creating scoring chances late into the match.
Liverpool vs Manchester United Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Man U | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 43.6% | 23.5% | 32.9% |
Projected Total Goals
| Man U | Total Goals | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 3.11 | 1.41 |
Liverpool vs Manchester United Betting Analysis
Both teams are well-positioned to secure Champions League qualification, but the intensity of this rivalry ensures neither side will settle for anything less than a win.
Manchester United's attack has been potent, outperforming its expected goals (xG) metric with 60 goals from a 56.3 xG.
The Red Devils are effective in open games, and Liverpool is unlikely to sit back defensively, which should create opportunities for United's offense, led by the Premier League's assist leader, Bruno Fernandes.
Liverpool, however, has shown defensive frailty on the road this season, conceding an average of 1.53 goals per away game. This could be a significant problem against a revitalized United team that has won six of its last seven home games.
While Liverpool will miss the goal-scoring threat of the injured Mohamed Salah, they still possess enough quality to trouble the United backline.
The recent history between these two clubs points toward several goals. The last five matchups have averaged an impressive 4.2 goals per game. Four of those five games saw both teams score, and the reverse fixture earlier in the season ended in a 2-1 Manchester United victory at Anfield.
Given United's strong home form and Liverpool's road struggles, the hosts are slight favorites, but this game has all the makings of another high-scoring, back-and-forth contest.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Liverpool vs Manchester United picks.
