Week 9 Fantasy Buy/Sell Trade Targets: Marquise Brown, an Air Yards Story
Mark Brown/Getty Images. Pictured: Marquise Brown
It is time to take some risks and make tough decisions as the fantasy football regular season hits the home stretch.
Here is a buy at each of the RB, WR, and TE positions that can be league-winners, with one big sell that can still nab value.
Fantasy Trade Targets
RB, Nick Chubb, Browns
Don’t forget how good Nick Chubb is.
In just a little more than three games played this season, Chubb still ranks first among all running backs in runs of 15 yards or greater. His 5.5 true yards per carry is currently third, and his 3.40 yards created per touch still ranks first among all running backs (per PlayerProfiler).
Nick Chubb has
more yards than Chris Carson
as many TDs as James Conner
averages more ypc than Dalvin Cook
he’s only played 3 full games and got 6 carries in the fourth game + he shares a backfield with Kareem Huntpic.twitter.com/OB18XID9WS
— airick²⁷ (@WalkoffBo) October 29, 2020
Chubb is scheduled to return after Cleveland’s Week 10 bye, giving him seven potential remaining fantasy games. With leading wide receiver Odell Beckham now out of the season, Chubb should receive an even heavier workload for a 5-3 Browns team fighting for its first playoff birth since the 2002 season.
Kareem Hunt has received the majority of volume in Chubb’s place, but has failed to meet expectations. He broke 100 total yards for the first time since Week 2 in Sunday’s 16-6 loss to Las Vegas.
There may be fantasy owners who are starting to doubt Chubb’s impact when he returns in two weeks. Try to put out offers for a veteran running back with league-winning upside.
WR Marquise Brown, Ravens
Fantasy owners are getting frustrated with Lamar Jackson’s inaccuracy and Marquise Brown’s subsequent lack of production.
Brown continues to rank about the top wide receivers in air yards. He is currently fourth in average air yards per game among all wide receivers, trailing only Calvin Ridley, D.K. Metcalf, and Adam Thielen.
It is only a matter of time before Jackson starts connecting with his dynamic receiver.
Why Marquise Brown is a bit frustratedpic.twitter.com/S9q2JiibFM
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 2, 2020
The Ravens also end the season with a very favorable schedule for fantasy wide receivers. Here are Baltimore’s Weeks 11-14 opponents with their ranking in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers:
- Week 11: Tennessee (31st)
- Week 12: at Pittsburgh (24th)
- Week 13: Dallas (26th)
- Week 14: at Cleveland (29th)
Now is the time to buy the Ravens’ clear WR1, coming off a one catch, three receiving yard performance in Baltimore’s 28-24 home loss to Pittsburgh.
TE, Dallas Goedert, Eagles
In the vapid, wasteland that is fantasy football tight ends, it is worth your while to take a closer look at Philadelphia’s Dallas Goedert.
Goedert returned from a foot fracture in Sunday’s 23-9 win over the Cowboys. He only tallied one reception for 15 yards, but is now ready to return to his dominant early season form.
Over the first two games, Goedert saw 17 targets and produced the overall TE1 stat line in Week 1. That happened while fellow tight end Zach Ertz was still starting.
Ertz is likely out until at least December, providing at least four more games where Goedert can operate as the only threat for targets at tight end.
Fantasy Sell Candidate
WR, D.J. Moore, Panthers
As Bill Parcells once famously said, “You are what your record says you are.” In the case of D.J. Moore, he is nothing more than a feast or famine WR2/3.
Over this past 11 games, Moore has finished as a PPR WR1 just twice. During that time he has failed to finish as even a WR3 on five separate occasions. Moore has become a true feast or famine option.
With elite pass-catching option Christian McCaffrey returning to the field, the target share for Moore will continue to decrease.
Robby Anderson is the clear lead WR, and Moore has continued his end zone aversion, despite two scores in Week 7. He has just four total touchdowns during that same 11 game stretch.
Robby Anderson is the clear Carolina lead WR, with more targets (61 to 53), receptions (46 to 31), receiving yards (641 to 567) and red zone targets (six to three). The lack of chemistry with quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has been an issue all season.
— Myles Simmons (@MylesASimmons) October 19, 2020
Take advantage of the recent touchdown output and see if Moore can be packaged with a running back for an elite RB or WR.
With an upcoming bye in Week 13 and two difficult matchups with Green Bay and Washington during the fantasy playoffs, now is the time to sell Moore before another low floor showing.