Promoguy’s Vegas Fantasy Football Rankings, Week 7
Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images. Pictured: Breece Hall.
We debuted Vegas-style fantasy football rankings earlier this NFL season.
We used season-long prop lines for each player to project fantasy points, using the wisdom-of-the-crowds approach embedded in betting markets to find players undervalued and overvalued by fantasy experts.
For example: if a receiver was listed at 6 catches, 60 yards and 0.5 TDs in the prop market, he'd be projected for 15 points in full PPR, and 9 points in standard formats.
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We'll be doing the same on a game-by-game basis, using props from that week's games to create fantasy rankings. While you'll be starting most of the players listed anyway, these rankings can be a good way to find DFS value or make tough lineup decisions early in the season.
Here's how things shook out for quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers for Week 7 in all formats, with some notes below.
It's a bit of a weird week with so many of the best offensive players in the league on a bye, so there are some interesting notes below.
- Geno Smith has been getting a lot of love in our rankings for the last few weeks, and comes in at No. 5 this week.
- Dak Prescott slots in at No. 7 in his return for the Cowboys, but there isn't a ton of depth at QB this week with so many players on a bye. He's just ahead of Marcus Mariota, Trevor Lawrence and Daniel Jones.
- Aaron Rodgers is all the way down at QB17, behind guys like Justin Fields, Matt Ryan, and just ahead of Kenny Pickett and Jacoby Brissett. Woof.
- Rookies Kenneth Walker and Breece Hall crack the top 10 in all formats, at No. 6 and No. 7 respectively.
- Leonard Fournette is the No. 2 RB in full-point PPR, ahead of Saquon Barkley.
- Nick Chubb is outside the top 10 in PPR formats due to his limited passing game role.
- The prop market expects a scaled-back role for Jonathan Taylor, as he's No. 10 in full-point PPR formats.
- Two Bengals are in the top 5, which isn't a surprise if you've been following these rankings all season. The prop market is high on Ja'Marr Chase, like everyone, but is much higher on Tee Higgins (when healthy) than fantasy rankers.
- The Bucs also have two receivers in the top 10, in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, in a matchup against the lowly Panthers.
- Jaylen Waddle and Deebo Samuel are on the fringe of the top 10, lower than consensus fantasy rankings.
- Seahawks WRs D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett both find themselves in the top 15, dovetailing with Geno Smith's high ranking among quarterbacks.
- Bucs TE Cade Otton is a TE1, coming in at No. 11 in all formats. He'll get more of the work with Cameron Brate out.
- Dalton Schultz has slid from his preseason ranking, falling behind guys like David Njoku, Pat Freiermuth and Robert Tonyan, even with Dak Prescott back at quarterback.