2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds & 3 Longshot Picks, Including Stewart Cink

For fans and casual golfers watching from home, the PGA Tour's annual trip to Pebble Beach is a highlight of the golf calendar. For the players on Tour, that is clearly no longer the case.

Many of the world's best won't be in the field this week, choosing instead to jet across the world to collect a guaranteed paycheck in Saudi Arabia. That leaves a curious group playing in Northern California. Yes, there are stars like Patrick Cantlay, Jordan Spieth, and Daniel Berger, but there are a host of hungry challengers looking to take advantage of a weak field and steal a win.

In fact, this event has recently become a haven for longshot winners.

If you're superstitious, we're due for a big time underdog to earn a victory this weekend. This is a tournament that favors a hot putter and provides some real variance, thanks to its multi-course format. Based on that criteria, these three players have the track record to pull off a miracle.

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Stewart Cink +13000

When looking for this week’s long shots, this was the first name and number that jumped off the page. Age be damned, Stewart Cink has shown over the last year that he still can catch fire. He won two events last season, but his play hasn’t just been boom or bust. Among the players in this week’s field, he’s posted the eighth-best number in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach over the last 12 months.

From tee to green, Stewart Cink is still one of the best 75 players in the world. If his putter gets hot against a field as weak as this week’s event, Cink is going to have a chance to win on Sunday. I don’t know that I’m counting on it, but at odds this long, it’s worth a flier.

Hayden Buckley +15000

OK, so maybe Stewart Cink isn’t all boom or bust. Hayden Buckley? Very much boom or bust.

The 25-year-old from the University of Missouri is playing his rookie season on the PGA Tour after graduating from the Korn Ferry Tour last season. So far, he has played eight PGA TOUR events, with four missed cuts and three top 12 finishes.

But he wasn’t just beating up on fall’s weak fields — both the Sony Open and Shriners Children's Open had stronger strength of fields than this week’s event at Pebble Beach.

Per Data Golf, Buckley has posted the sixth-best Strokes Gained Tee to Green of any player in this week’s field in the past six months. No matter what tour you’re playing on, that type of game translates. If you’re looking to catch lightning in a bottle, Buckley could be your guy.

Bet Hayden Buckley at Caesars and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

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Nate Lashley +30000

Let’s talk about a mega-longshot.

Lashley has fallen to 318th in the world following a few really tough years. He has earned just one top 10 since January of 2020. That top 10, however, came here at the AT&T Pro-Am. Lashley also had his best ever finish in a major here at Pebble Beach at the U.S. Open in 2019.

According to the analytics pros at Data Golf, among those with at least eight rounds played at Pebble Beach, only Corey Pavin has outperformed Lashley in terms of Strokes Gained per round compared to expectation. If there’s a place for Lashley to pop, it’s here.

He played some stronger golf in the fall before settling into two missed cuts in his last two starts. For the smallest of silver linings, he played two good rounds after a dismal opening 77 at the American Express the last time out.

Lashley has proven the ability to win as a deep underdog. His only career PGA Tour win came as the 353rd ranked player in the world. At +2200 for top 10, I’ll take the dice roll.

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