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2022 Scottish Open Odds, Picks, Predictions: Tommy Fleetwood, 5 More Bets for Renaissance Club

2022 Scottish Open Odds, Picks, Predictions: Tommy Fleetwood, 5 More Bets for Renaissance Club article feature image
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Ross Kinnaird/Getty Images. Pictured: PGA TOUR golfer Tommy Fleetwood.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Scottish Open odds via BetMGM

2022 Scottish Open Odds

Golfer Odds
Jon Rahm +1200
Justin Thomas +1400
Scottie Scheffler +1400
Xander Schauffele +1800
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
Collin Morikawa +2500
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Cameron Smith +2800
Sam Burns +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Jordan Spieth ‘+3000
Will Zalatoris ‘+3000
Viktor Hovland +3300
Joaquin Niemann +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Billy Horschel +4000
Max Homa +4000
Corey Conners +5000
Keegan Bradley +5000
Ryan Fox +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +5000
Cameron Young +5000
Justin Rose +5000
Lucas Herbert +5000
Tyrrell Hatton +6600
Adrian Meronk +6600
Keith Mitchell +6600
Brian Harman +6600
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6600
Min Woo Lee +6600
Mito Pereira +6600
Aaron Rai +8000
Gary Woodland +8000
Harold Varner +8000
Marc Leishman +8000
Matt Kuchar +8000
Robert Macintyre +8000
Sahith Theegala +8000
Sebastian Munoz +8000
Alex Noren +10000
Chris Kirk +10000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +10000
Maverick McNealy +10000
Tom Hoge +10000
Cameron Tringale +12500
Haotong Li +12500
Jason Kokrak +12500
Jordan Smith +12500
Luke List +12500
Mackenzie Hughes +12500
Rasmus Hojgaard +12500
Rickie Fowler +12500
Si-Woo Kim +12500
Thomas Detry +12500
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Francesco Molinari +15000
Harris English +15000
Henrik Stenson +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
Joel Dahmen +15000
Matthew NeSmith +15000
Patrick Rodgers +15000
Russell Knox +15000
Ryan Palmer +15000
Troy Merritt +15000
Victor Perez +15000
Adri Arnaus +20000
Alex Smalley +20000
Alexander Björk +20000
Andrew Putnam +20000
Antoine Rozner +20000
David Lipsky +20000
Dean Burmester +20000
Edoardo Molinari +20000
Fabrizio Zanotti +20000
Johannes Veerman +20000
John Catlin +20000
Kurt Kitayama +20000
Padraig Harrington +20000
Richie Ramsay +20000
Stewart Cink +20000
Wyndham Clark +20000
Anirban Lahiri +25000
Callum Tarren +25000
Charley Hoffman +25000
Danny Willett +25000
Dylan Frittelli +25000
Garrick Higgo +25000
Hayden Buckley +25000
J.J. Spaun +25000
Joohyung Kim +25000
Jorge Campillo +25000
Lucas Glover +25000
Marcus Armitage +25000
Matt Wallace +25000
Mikko Korhonen +25000
Nick Taylor +25000
Sepp Straka +25000
Thorbjorn Olesen +25000
Thriston Lawrence +25000
Wil Besseling +25000
Bio Kim +30000
Brandon Stone +30000
Danny Lee +30000
Jason Scrivener +30000
Kalle Samooja +30000
Lee Hodges +30000
Nicolai Hojgaard +30000
Sean Crocker +30000
Taylor Moore +30000
Ewen Ferguson +40000
Grant Forrest +40000
Guido Migliozzi +40000
Jamie Donaldson +40000
Joachim B. Hansen +40000
Luke Donald +40000
Masahiro Kawamura +40000
Matthew Jordan +40000
Matthieu Pavon +40000
Maximilian Kieffer +40000
Rafa Cabrera-Bello +40000
Sebastian Soderberg +40000
Ashun Wu +50000
Brandon Wu +50000
Daniel Gavins +50000
Daniel van Tonder +50000
Francesco Laporta +50000
Jack Senior +50000
James Morrison +50000
Jazz Janewattananond +50000
Joakim Lagergren +50000
Kristoffer Broberg +50000
Sami Valimaki +50000
Tapio Pulkkanen +50000
Andy Sullivan +75000
David Horsey +75000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +75000
Marcus Kinhult +75000
Nacho Elvira +75000
Nino Bertasio +75000
Shubhankar Sharma +75000
Jeff Winther +100000
Nick Watney +100000
Andrea Pavan +150000
Chris Wood +150000
Jaekyeong Lee +150000
Jonathan Caldwell +150000
Maverick Antcliff +150000
Scott Hend +150000
Stephen Gallacher +150000
Steven Brown +150000
Rikard Karlberg +200000
Thomas Bjorn ‘+200000
Bet the Scottish Open, Win $200 (No Matter What!)

As we prepare for the 150th Open Championship, the PGA TOUR will make one final stop to play the Genesis Scottish Open at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland. The tournament is a co-sanctioned event between the DP World Tour and PGA TOUR with a field comprised of members from both tours.

The Renaissance Club is a 7,293-yard Par 71. The Tom Doak design is a links style golf course and should provide players with the chance to acclimate to links golf as part of their preparation for the Open Championship.

The Scottish Open will play host to 156 golfers and the field is absolutely loaded. Fourteen of the top 15 players in the OWGR will be teeing it up this, with the only exception being Rory McIlroy.

The field features plenty of other star power including Tommy Fleetwood, Max Homa, Sungjae Im, Joaquin Niemann, Tyrrell Hatton, Justin Rose and Rickie Fowler.


5 Key Stats For The Renaissance Club

Let’s take a look at five key metrics for The Renaissance Club to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their last 24 rounds.

The modeling will have some limitations this week, as half the field has been playing primarily on the DP World Tour. Therefore, the more recent statistics for the players’ DP World Tour performances will not be included in the Strokes Gained metrics.

1. Strokes Gained: Approach

Strokes Gained: Approach will once again be the most important statistic this week. The course record is held by Bernd Weisberger, who has been one of the most precise iron players in the world throughout the course of his career.

SG: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Xander Schauffele (+24.9) (+2000)
  2. Max Homa (+24.3) (+5000)
  3. Cameron Smith (+23.7) (+2800)
  4. Sam Burns (+23.2) (+7500)
  5. Harold Varner III (+22.8) (+2800)

2. Strokes Gained: Off The Tee 

Off the Tee will certainly be a factor this week. The Renaissance club features relatively tight fairways, and longer hitters have fared well here in the past as well.

SG: Off The Tee over Past 24 rounds

  1. Jon Rahm (+28.4) (+1200)
  2. Cameron Young (+25.4) (+5500)
  3. Joaquin Niemann (+19.9) (+4000)
  4. Will Zalatoris (+19.7) (+2800)
  5. Matt Fitzpatrick (+19.2) (+1400)

3. Birdie or Better: Gained

The difficulty of the Renaissance Club will be entirely dependent on the weather. If the wind doesn’t pick up, there’s a good chance the winning score could get close to the -20 range.

Birdie or Better: Gained Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Cameron Smith (+26.4) (+2800)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+24.2) (+1200)
  3. Xander Schauffele (+23.9) (+2000)
  4. Justin Thomas (+23.5) (+1200)
  5. Will Zalatoris (+23.3) (+2800)

4. Strokes Gained: Putting (Slow)

The greens in Scotland are typically much slower than many of the players who play primarily on the PGA Tour are used to. Therefore, it makes sense to evaluate which TOUR players have had success on slower greens.

Strokes Gained: Putting (Slow) Over Past 24 Rounds:

  1. Brian Harman (+18.4) (+8000)
  2. Jordan Spieth (+17.7) (+3000)
  3. Sebastian Munoz (+10.2) (+8000)
  4. Andrew Putnam (+9.2) (+35000)
  5. Xander Schauffele (+8.8) (+2000)
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5. Strokes Gained: Par 3

With five Par 3’s on the course, it’ll be crucial to play them effectively in order to contend.

Strokes Gained: Par 3 Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Xander Schauffele (+19.4) (+2000)
  2. Luke Donald (+16.8) (+60000)
  3. Scottie Scheffler  (+15.9) (+1200)
  4. Mito Pereira (+13.6) (+7000)
  5. Tommy Fleetwood (+13.6) (+5500)

The Genesis Scottish Open Model Rankings

Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the six key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: App (27%), Birdie or Better (20%), SG: OTT (22%) Par 3 (14%), and SG: Putting (Slow) (17%).

  1. Xander Schauffele (+2000)
  2. Mito Pereira (+7000)
  3. Scottie Scheffler (+1200)
  4. Will Zalatoris (+2800)
  5. Jordan Spieth (+3000)
  6. Keegan Bradley (+6000)
  7. Max Homa (+5000)
  8. Justin Thomas (+1200)
  9. Matt Fitzpatrick (+1800)
  10. Corey Conners (+5500)

2022 Genesis Scottish Open Best Bets

Cameron Smith (+3000, BetRivers)

Cameron Smith is coming off of a missed cut at this year’s U.S. Open, which is giving us a bit of a discount for this week’s Scottish Open. The missed cut was disappointing, but there wasn’t anything statistically that would lead me to believe that the Australian can’t bounce back quickly.

On paper, The Renaissance Club should be a perfect fit for Smith. I believe that golfers can get away with being a bit wayward off the tee this week, which is usually the part of his game that can get the 28-year-old into trouble. Smith ranks first in the field in his past 24 rounds in Birdie or Better: Gained. With the scores likely approaching -20 this week depending on the weather, his ability to pile up birdies will be a major asset.

Smith has seven career wins on the PGA TOUR and DP World TOUR combined. He carries a great deal of win equity at a discounted price. If he has a bounce back week with the irons, he will be tough to beat at this golf course.

Viktor Hovland (+3500, bet365)

Viktor Hovland has undoubtedly been struggling for much of 2022, and ever more so of late. It’s been over three months since he’s had a top-20 finish and his around the green numbers are downright atrocious. However, I feel that this week’s Scottish Open may just be the perfect spot to “buy low” on the talented 24-year-old.

Throughout his career, Hovland has done most of his best work on slow greens. He’s won at El Camaleon twice and Coco Beach once. Both of those golf courses feature some of the slowest greens that the players will see all season. The Renaissance Club should be a course where Hovland has an easier time chipping and putting considering all of the lightning-fast greens we’ve seen on TOUR in recent months.

Despite his recent struggles, Hovland is still one of the better drivers of the golf ball on TOUR. He’s gained strokes on the field off the tee in 28 of his past 32 starts, including six of his past seven when his finishes haven’t been quite up to his standards. Off the tee play proved to be important in last year’s edition of the event, and I expect it to play a major factor in 2022 as well.

The current form is concerning, but I’ll take the high upside of Viktor Hovland at a very fair number in Scotland.

Bet the Scottish Open risk-free up to $1,000.

Tommy Fleetwood (+5000, BetRivers)

Tommy Fleetwood is simply a different player when he’s across the pond in a links-style test. He’s already been incredibly close to winning this event in 2020 when he lost in a playoff to Aaron Rai and there’s no reason to believe he can’t challenge for a victory again in 2022.

The Englishman has proven he can compete in the strongest of fields in Open Championships, having finished 12th, second, and 33rd in his past three starts. It can be difficult to ignore Fleetwood’s struggles in the United States, but there are few who are better on and around the greens in Scotland than Tommy.

Fleetwood has been a consistent contender on the DP World Tour throughout his career. Perhaps a co-sanctioned event is exactly what he needs to get his long coveted first PGA TOUR victory.

Tyrrell Hatton (+6500, DraftKings)

Tyrrell Hatton isn’t in the best of form. With that being acknowledged, I firmly believe that this number is too big.

Hatton has finishes of 14th and 18th in his past two starts at The Renaissance Club, and this style of golf is far more suitable for him than the recent courses he’s been playing on the PGA TOUR. Links-style golf is where Hatton thrives and his success on the DP World Tour is too strong to be ignored in an event like this.

The Englishman has two wins at the Alfred Dunhill Links which is played at three different links courses in Scotland. If there were ever a time for Hatton to figure it out, this is the spot.

Johannes Veerman (+20000, BetRivers); Top 10 (+1400, DraftKings)

Johannes Veerman has the look and the swing of a golfer who should be a household name. However, the American is yet to put it all together thus far in his career.

Veerman was fantastic last year in his only start at The Renaissance Club as he finished in eighth place. He’s also played very well in the Irish Open (third last year), and that’s proven to have some correlation with contending at the Scottish Open as well.

The 29-year-old enters the event with three consecutive top-24 finishes and seems to be rounding into form. A win admittedly be an incredibly tall task in this field so a sprinkle on the top 10 at +1400 is a wise supplement to the outright bet.

Thorbjorn Olesen (+25000, BetRivers); Top 10 (+1800, BetRivers)

Thorbjorn Olesen is having yet another resurgence in 2022. In May, he won the Betfred British Masters by remarkably finishing eagle-birdie to close the tournament. After a few lackluster starts, Olesen showed some more life last week by finishing in a tie for eighth at the Horizon Irish Open. His closing 66 on Sunday should give him some momentum for the Scottish Open.

“Thunder Bear” has an exceptional track record on links courses in his career having won the Alfred Dunhill Links, which is also in Scotland. He’s a volatile bet, but if he’s on this week he can compete in a strong field.

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