From a major championship last week to an elevated 72-man no-cut event. There are truly no weeks off in golf.
This is an interesting outright board when we dive into what Scottie Scheffler has going on right now. How many weeks can everyone keep dodging the ultimate victory that is right there?
We will see if this is the event where everything hits the fan for bettors trying to oppose him, but let's dive into my 2026 Travelers Championship picks and PGA Tour best bets for this week's event.
2026 Travelers Championship Outright Picks
Si Woo Kim, 35/1
Another week, another write-up on Si Woo Kim. I am sure everyone is getting sick of this take.
Before we even talk about this play, I do have to give credit to sportsbooks, which not only opened him at 35/1 but also quickly moved him into the 20s. This is not your old school days of betting. Metrics matter more than ever, and how someone has performed on a test in the past is only part of the story. Five years ago, Kim would have been at 50/1 and one of the best values of the year. Instead, we get an enhanced price that didn't last long at the high end.
I realize the course history is suspect. No top-30 finishes in five years at the venue is troubling, but it also doesn't make a ton of sense given that we've seen Kim perform at similar tests in the past. Kim did post an 11th here in 2020 if we are looking for any silver lining returns, and it is the best Weighted Strokes Gained Total mark we have gotten from him at this course ever.
The floor isn't perfect, but the upside is tantalizing for someone who has been close all year. I am willing to bet on that during this no-cut contest.
Ludvig Aberg, 22/1
My entire card is made up of golfers who have come close in 2026 but have failed to win. The belief is that the entire crew has received an enhancement due to their lack of "perceived win equity."
Aberg is no different in expressing that sentiment as we dive into a season that very easily could add multiple wins to his resume. We have seen the Swede win at similar club-down courses in the past, like the RSM Classic in 2023, but it might come as a surprise to some that his only other victory on tour came in February of 2025 at the Genesis Invitational.
Look, maybe there is something to be said for his inability to get across the finish line, but I am a big believer that winning golf tournaments is as much about luck as it is about good play. You are going to play well sometimes and lose. You are going to play badly other times and win. We saw both sides of that equation from Wyndham at the CJ Cup and U.S. Open. His U.S. Open finish doesn't mean he can't close. It is just part of the game.
Tommy Fleetwood, 20/1
My lovable second-place finishers wouldn't be complete without a guest appearance from Tommy Fleetwood, who I had at this event last year during his horrible close down the stretch against Keegan Bradley. I understand that the implosion on 18 was part of the problem, but it goes back to what I said about bad luck and Keegan coming up clutch when he didn't have to in that moment. A simple miss might have changed the entire landscape of what happened.
Fleetwood is close. He has also been close every single time to no avail, other than once throughout his career, but his second-place rank for Weighted Strokes Gained Total, and the same rank at Similar Courses, should tell a promising picture of hope.
Whether or not he turns hope into victory remains to be seen, but I wouldn't be able to sleep at night if I didn't go back to Fleetwood at TPC River Highlands after coming as close as I did last year.
2026 Travelers Championship Matchup Pick
No matchups for me this week. It is going to be a rather light card.
However, instead of skipping this section, let's look at a few value options in my model that are tracking with sharp action at high-end locations. This might help everyone find some value.
For this study, let's run a filter to include only the top 35 golfers who are positive in my model and have less than 10% bad drift in the market. I hope this might help identify playability across various markets, including DFS. I will leave my ranks there so everyone can get a better look at why.
Qualifying Names
