2022 Premier Lacrosse League Championship Betting Odds, Picks: Prop Bets for Waterdogs vs. Chaos
KENNESAW, GA – JUNE 11: Waterdogs midfielder Connor Kelly looks for an open teammate during the third quarter of a Premier Lacrosse League game between the Chaos and Waterdogs at Fifth Third Bank Stadium on Friday, June 11, 2021 in Kennesaw, GA. (Photo by Austin McAfee/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
The final game of the 2022 Premier Lacrosse League season calls for one final round of PLL prop bets Sunday.
If you’re an avid bettor who’s new to lacrosse or a lacrosse fan who’s new to betting, check out my guide on how to bet on lacrosse for some tips to use when placing a lacrosse bet.
Waterdogs (-1.5) vs. Chaos
|Time||Sunday, 3 p.m. ET|
Odds via FanDuel as of Saturday night
In my PLL Championship preview, I explain how I expect the Waterdogs to have success against this Chaos defense. Two players in particular I expect to have a lot of success are Connor Kelly and Michael Sowers.
Kelly is a player that has put up as many as six points in a game this season —he recorded six scores in his last game against Chaos — but also been held to no points three times this season.
His points volatility has convinced sportsbooks to set his points prop at 2.5. Kelly has only scored three or more points in five of 12 games this season, but has scored four or more points in his past two meetings against Chaos.
With midfielder Mikie Schlosser out of the lineup, the Waterdogs will rely heavily on Kelly this weekend.
Additionally, attackman Ryan Brown will re-join the lineup this weekend, which should help elevate the Waterdogs offense and give Kelly another option to feed.
Bet Connor Kelly to go over 2.5 points (-102 on FanDuel).
As for Sowers, he’s been the leader of the offense during the team’s playoff run, recording nine points in the Waterdogs’ past two playoff games.
However, his points prop is rather high at 4.5, especially considering he’ll face the league’s hottest goaltender in Blaze Riorden.
Instead, I’m looking to play his goals prop at 2.5.
Sowers has scored three or more goals in six of Waterdogs’ 12 games this season and managed to record two against the Chaos earlier this season, despite seeing limited playing time in that game.
When asked about his health status for Sunday, Sowers told reporters that he “feels great” and is “100%” heading into the championship.
I think Sowers will be able to win his one-on-one matchups on Sunday and score a hat trick in his third straight game.
Bet Sowers to go over 2.5 goals at -115 on DraftKings.
Although I like the Waterdogs to win, I still believe the faceoff matchup could tilt in the Chaos’ favor and think that the sportsbooks have mispriced the most-faceoffs-won prop.
Neither played in Chaos and Waterdogs’ last matchup, but both faceoff specialists Jake Withers and Max Adler have been monumental in their teams’ past two wins. Yet, no faceoff man has been hotter in the postseason these past two years than Adler.
In both playoff wins, Chaos was able to control the tempo and dominate possession time, thanks to Adler going 59% and 68% at the stripe. Furthermore, Adler has an average win rate of 57.8% in his past five playoff games.
While Withers and the wing play of Zach Currier and Ryland Rees will certainly give Adler some trouble on Sunday, there is no reason the Waterdogs should be this heavily favored to win the most faceoffs on Sunday
I suggest backing the Chaos faceoff unit and betting Chaos to win the most faceoffs at +105 on DraftKings.
Finally, a player on Chaos that I am fading is Ryan Smith.
Smith has had some big games for Chaos, recording two points or more in half of Chaos’ games this season. However, two of those games came when Chaos was missing five offensive starters, and Smith’s playing time has greatly fluctuated throughout the season.
I think coach Andy Towers will look to play Chase Fraser, Challen Rogers and Dhane Smith on the right side a bit more than Smith.
I like betting Smith to stay under his points prop of 1.5 at the nice price of +100 on BetMGM.
Picks: Connor Kelly Over 2.5 Points; Sowers Over 2.5 Goals; Chaos To Win Most Faceoffs; Ryan Smith Under 1.5 Points