Premier Lacrosse League Betting Odds & Picks: Chaos vs. Redwoods, Cannons vs. Waterdogs Best Bets (Sunday, August 6)
Photo courtesy of PLL/Abby Sloze. Pictured: Michael Sowers of the Waterdogs
PLL Week 8 resumes on Sunday with a rematch between the Redwoods and Chaos on ABC and a battle between two 4-2 teams in Cannons and Waterdogs following that.
I have seven more best bets for the second day of games.
Let’s take a look at the betting angles for each.
If you’re an avid bettor who’s new to lacrosse or a lacrosse fan who’s new to betting, check out my guide on how to bet on lacrosse for some tips to use when placing a lacrosse bet.
Chaos LC vs. Redwoods LC (-1.5)
|Time||Sunday · 1 p.m. ET|
Odds as of Sunday and via FanDuel
Sunday starts with a rematch between Chaos and Redwoods, and the favorite varies depending on the sportsbook. The total is currently 23.5 across all sportsbooks.
There are a handful of variables that make this game one of the tougher to handicap.
The last meeting between these teams featured a 13-8 win by the Redwoods, but Chaos starting goalie Blaze Riorden was a healthy scratch prior to game time.
This weekend, Chaos will be without Josh Byrne, who was ruled out on Friday.
On the flipside, Redwoods opted to overhaul their midfield last week by moving Sergio Perkovic to short-stick defensive midfield and leaving Myles Jones off the roster. While the Redwoods managed to put up only 10 points last week, the offensive midfield unit of Cole Kirst, Charlie Bertrand and Kevin Rogers played well.
I think this Redwoods offense is trending in the right direction, but I need another game of data before I back them on the spread or moneyline.
While the Redwoods offense has been inconsistent, a model of consistency on the team has been goaltender Jack Kelly. Prior to running into the most efficient offense last week, Kelly delivered four straight games of 12 or more saves, including a 15-save game against Chaos in Week 4.
Now, he’ll face an offense that will be without Josh Byrne on Sunday. While Chaos have plenty of other offensive weapons, the Redwoods defense has played well and should force Chaos into lower quality looks.
This combined with what could be a high shot volume is why I recommend betting Jack Kelly to go over 11.5 saves (-114 on FanDuel).
We cashed a Blaze Riorden under on his saves prop of 15.5 last week, so why not follow that up by betting him to go over 14.5 saves on Sunday? Riorden was absent in the last meeting between these two teams, but he has averaged 16 saves per game in the five games he’s played.
Riroden has surpassed this mark in three of five games this season and will face an offense that is shooting just 24.1%, which is good for second-worst in the league. Bet Riorden to save more than 14.5 (+112 on FanDuel).
Finally, I’m looking to fade Ryder Garnsey again this week. While he scored five points in the previous meeting, the presence of Riorden in this game is a substantial variable, and I think the Chaos defense will learn from their mistakes three games ago.
Chaos is allowing just 11.8 goals per game with Riorden in net and should be able to limit Garnsey enough in this one. Bet Garnsey to stay under his points prop of 3.5 (+144 on FanDuel).
Picks: Jack Kelly Over 11.5 Saves | Blaze Riorden Over 14.5 Saves | Ryder Garnsey Under 3.5 Points
Cannons LC (-1.5) vs. Waterdogs LC
|Time||Sunday · 3:30 p.m. ET|
Odds as of Sunday and via Caesars Sportsbook
The final game of the weekend has major playoff implications. Both teams could put themselves in position for a top-two seed with a win.
While I think there is some value on the Waterdogs on the moneyline at +105 on Caesars, the Cannons are very much a contender as the Waterdogs are, and I’d rather target the total of 25.5.
While this total is tied for the highest amount this season, I’m not sure it’s high enough for a game featuring these two offenses. Both rank at the top in offensive efficiency with the Cannons scoring on 34.9% of their possessions and Waterdogs scoring on 31.6% of theirs.
Additionally, one of the Waterdogs’ concerns is their transition defense, which is giving up goals on 35% of fast breaks. They’ll also again be without Dillon Ward in net, which bodes well for a Cannons offense that is scoring on 34.6% of their settled offensive possessions.
I expect a lot of goals in this game and recommend betting over 25.5 goals (-105 on DraftKings).
I also think these teams’ ability to score from range will help push this total over. The Waterdogs will be getting Connor Kelly back in the lineup and have scored the second-most two-pointers with seven.
Cannons arguably have even more players who can score from beyond the arc and have buried five two-point goals so far this season. This is a great opportunity not only to bet the total but also to bet this game to have more than 1.5 two-point goals scored (+108 on FanDuel).
Finally, I think Michael Sowers will be a focal point of the Waterdogs offense and like him to surpass both his goals and points prop. Sowers has scored two goals in three of six games this season and scored at least two goals in 13 of 18 games if you include last season.
Even at -150 on FanDuel, this is a good price for Sowers to find the back of the net twice on Sunday. He’s also had four points or more in 10 of his last 18 games, making +135 on DraftKings a great price to bet him to surpass 3.5 points.
Picks: Over 25.5 | Over 1.5 Two-Point Goals | Michael Sowers Over 1.5 Goals & 3.5 Points