Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 11, 2025

Blue Jays at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN

Toronto Blue Jays

34-36

0 - 0

Baltimore Orioles

34-37

pitcher		team	era	w-l

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 34-36	N/A	N/A	N/A
Orioles 34-37	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 11:05 p.m.

April 11, 2025

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

B.Francis o4.5 Ks+125

0.57u

3.55% ev

BAL o4.5 Team Total+120

Score ya fucking birds

T.Sugano u1.5 BB+120

In Japan, Sugano was an elite command guy: 2024: 2.6% BB-rate 2023: 4.8% BB-rate 2022: 4.4% BB-rate In 2 starts in the MLB, he has 3 walks, 2 coming in his first start, with a 7.3% BB-rate. I would expect that rate to come down as we get a larger sample size and Tomoyuki settles into the big leagues. He faced 23 batters throwing 89 pitches last game, if he gets up 25 batters faced tonight & we assume his long-term BB-rate is 5% (conservative), we’d still only be projecting 1.25 walks allowed. Toronto has the 6th lowest walk rate to RHP to start the season. There’s a chance of bad weather in Baltimore tonight, there’s some added value here as there’s a small chance this game goes into a rain delay and Sugano gets a shortened start. Would play this to (+100)

TOR -104

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Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction: Friday Over/Under Pick
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 11, 2025 UTC
3 Savvy MLB Picks from PRO Report
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 11, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 13-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Orioles' 39 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	35-36	22-17	13-19	16-18	19-18
Blue Jays	33-37	19-18	14-19	19-20	13-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	41-27-3	21-16-2	20-11-1	18-14-2	23-13-1
Blue Jays	35-32-3	20-16-1	15-16-2	21-16-2	13-16-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	34-37	22-17	12-20	18-16	16-21
Blue Jays	34-36	21-16	13-20	22-17	11-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 9th	@ARI	L 0-9	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI +100
Apr 9th	@ARI	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	ARI -115
Apr 8th	@ARI	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +105
Apr 6th	@KC	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -105
Apr 5th	@KC	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -105

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Dylan Beavers
RF
Dylan Beavers scratched Tuesday.
Out

Jose Berrios
SP
Berrios is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Santander
RF
Santander is out with shoulder
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out
Addison Barger
RF
Addison Barger (elbow) scratched Sunday.
Out

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MatchupOverUnder
Blue Jays 34-36	N/A	N/A
Orioles 34-37	N/A	N/A

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 11, 2025

Blue Jays at Orioles

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