Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 26, 2024

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Atlanta Braves

0-0

4 - 8

New York Mets

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Senga			3.38	1-0
C.Morton			4.19	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-0	+1.5-192	o7.5-115	+114
Mets 0-0	-1.5+160	u7.5-105	-135

Friday 11:10 p.m.

July 26, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

Over 7.5-112

0.89u

ATL +114

$877.19

ATL +110

BP6

Under 8.5-115

0.5u

Flat to 8 (-110); betting before Thursday’s game so may adjust staking or price target depending on pen use

Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season -- tied for lowest in MLB. The Mets have scored first in just 45% of their games since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 33% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Braves right-handed hitters have struck out 50% against LHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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The Braves are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Jarred Kelenic has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Dedniel Nunez has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 28% of PA's since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Pierce Johnson has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- tied for 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (1,110/2,405) vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total CB; League Avg: 17% -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 71 of 707 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 35-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 25th	ATL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7	NYM +100
Jul 24th	@NYY	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +143
Jul 23rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +130
Jul 22nd	@MIA	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -148
Jul 21st	@MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -142

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	60	2.2	2	5
RD.Hernandez, P	38	1.1	2	1
LA.Bummer, P	33	2	3	0
LA.Minter, P	13	1	0	0
RJ.Chavez, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-3	0	0	0
1R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	1	1	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	0-4	1	0	0
7A.Duvall, RF	2-4	2	2	3
8N.Alvarez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P	73	5.1	9	2
RE.Orze, P	25	1.2	1	1
RA.Ottavino, P	31	1	1	0
LJ.Diekman, P	18	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	1	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	2	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	3-4	1	1	4
3D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3D.Stewart, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.McNeil, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	2-3	1	1	3
7J.Iglesias, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	1-4	1	1	1
9T.Taylor, CF	0-4	1	0	0