Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024

Cardinals at Brewers

11:40 pm • BSWI

St. Louis Cardinals

55-56

7 - 4

Milwaukee Brewers

65-44

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Civale			5.07	2-6
S.Matz			5.08	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 55-56	+1.5-162	o8-106	+130
Brewers 65-44	-1.5+136	u8-113	-154

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 03, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

J.Chourio o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-137

A.Civale o16.5 Outs-121

1.21u

MIL -150

W.Contreras o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

1.25u

• Matz vs RHB this season: .317 xBA/.379 xwOBA allowed • .333 xBA/.517 xwOBA vs LHP L14 days • Great numbers vs Matz pitch mix: .594 xBA/.750 xwOBA/22.2 barrel% post ASB • Top of MIL order has been extremely hot (Contreras, Adames, Chourio)

MIL -154

S.Matz u4.5 Ks-120

1.2u

Featured Insight
Cardinals left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB. Brewers have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- tied for third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Cardinals have scored three or more runs in an inning just 49 times (4%) this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Brewers are 80-57 (.584) this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Willy Adames has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- ninth highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 34% since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale in the 2023 season was 381.4 feet -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 28 ABsending on a two-strike cutter from Aaron Civale. -- this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 33-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Brewers' 56 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	61-48	28-28	33-20	24-29	36-19
Cardinals	57-54	30-26	27-28	22-31	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	48-58-3	24-31-1	24-27-2	25-27-1	23-30-2
Cardinals	55-50-6	29-24-3	26-26-3	26-22-5	28-28-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	65-44	36-20	29-24	34-19	30-25
Cardinals	55-56	32-24	23-32	27-26	27-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 2nd	STL	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -170
Sep 1st	@CIN	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CIN -135
Aug 31st	@CIN	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIL -132
Aug 30th	@CIN	W 14-0	+1.5 W	O 9.5	MIL +100
Aug 30th	@CIN	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	MIL -118

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhys Hoskins
1B
Hoskins is out with thumb
Out
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
RP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Nolan Arenado
3B
Arenado is out with shoulder
Out
Nolan Gorman
2B
Gorman is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Matz, P	78	4.2	7	3
RR.Fernandez, P	22	1.1	2	0
LJ.Romero, P	14	1	1	0
RA.Kittredge, P	9	1	1	0
LM.Liberatore, P	30	2	2	0
RR.Helsley, P	27	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	1-6	1	0	0
2A.Burleson, DH	0-4	0	0	1
3N.Arenado, 3B	0-5	1	0	1
4B.Donovan, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
5P.Goldschmidt, 1B	3-5	1	1	3
6L.Nootbaar, LF	2-5	0	0	0
7J.Walker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7V.Scott, RF	0-1	1	0	0
8P.Pages, C	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Fermin, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8I.Herrera, C	0-0	1	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	1-4	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	89	5	7	3
LA.Ashby, P	25	2	1	0
RT.Megill, P	10	1	0	0
RD.Williams, P	14	1	2	0
RJ.Payamps, P	13	1	0	0
LJ.Koenig, P	18	1	1	0
RE.Peguero, P	24	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, LF	2-4	1	1	2
2B.Perkins, CF	0-5	1	0	0
3W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0	0
4G.Sanchez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4G.Mitchell, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4G.Mitchell, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5W.Adames, SS	1-5	0	0	1
6B.Hicklen, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Frelick, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7R.Hoskins, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Ortiz, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
9B.Turang, 2B	1-5	1	0	0