Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Cubs at Diamondbacks

7:40 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

59-39

5 - 3

Arizona Diamondbacks

49-50

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			4.71	11-10
J.Wicks			5.48	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 59-39	+1.5-198	o9-110	+110
Diamondbacks 49-50	-1.5+164	u9-110	-130

Wednesday 7:40 p.m.

April 17, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

Under 5.5 (F5)-165

0.33u

5.5 is on Fanatics fuck it

ARI -125

0.75u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/cubs-vs-diamondbacks-pick-today-mlb-odds-predictions-april-17

ARI -2.5+255

0.15u

B.Pfaadt u6.5 Ks-155

0.71u

Under 9-105

0.95u

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 304-212-16,59% (ROI:13%) Season:4-4-0,50% (ROI:-5%)

ARI -123

1.85u

D-Backs more like D-Coin Respecters

Over 9-106

0.53u

Bet to -115

ARI -115

0.58u

Bet to -121

ARI -110 (F5)

0.55u

Bet to -128

ARI +0.5 (F5)-140

0.25u

Bet to -163 or bump ML wager up at -117 or better.

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 2.9 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- fifth highest in MLB (178 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 2.7 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB (179 games).

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Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 48% this season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Cubs this season -- sixth lowest in MLB.

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The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Cody Bellinger had an OPS of .881 last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Bryan Hoeing allowed an OPS of .826 (304 PAs) last season -- 14th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

Michael Busch has an OPS of 1.073 this season -- eighth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OPS of .853 (74 PAs) this season -- 10th worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 2 of Jordan Wicks' 25 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 8%) this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 33% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 26-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Diamondbacks' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	49-49	23-27	26-22	27-36	22-13
Cubs	50-48	24-24	26-24	37-30	13-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	53-42-3	26-21-3	27-21	34-26-3	19-16
Cubs	48-45-5	25-21-2	23-24-3	32-32-3	16-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	49-50	25-25	24-24	32-31	17-18
Cubs	59-39	32-16	27-23	47-20	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 17th	CHC	W 12-11	-1.5 L	O 10	ARI -120
Apr 16th	CHC	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -155
Apr 14th	STL	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI -142
Apr 14th	STL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	ARI -118
Apr 13th	STL	L 6-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	STL -124

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out

Jameson Taillon
SP
Taillon is out with calf
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Wicks, P	74	4.1	5	2
RH.Wesneski, P	43	4	2	0
LD.Smyly, P	11	0.2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Happ, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	2-5	1	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	2-4	2	1	1
4C.Morel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Busch, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
7M.Tauchman, RF	2-4	1	0	1
8Y.Gomes, C	1-4	0	0	1
9M.Mastrobuoni, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Canario, LF	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	94	7	6	2
LJ.Mantiply, P	14	0.1	0	2
RJ.Martinez, P	24	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	3-4	1	1	2
2C.Carroll, CF	0-2	0	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6R.Grichuk, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7B.Alexander, DH	1-2	0	0	0
7J.Pederson, PH	1-2	1	1	1
7J.Pederson, DH	1-2	1	1	1
8T.Barnhart, C	1-3	1	0	0
8G.Moreno, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Newman, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9J. Peterson, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9J. Peterson, SS	0-2	0	0	0