Cubs vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - August 31, 2024

Cubs at Nationals

8:05 pm • MLB Network

Chicago Cubs

4-4

5 - 3

Washington Nationals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Herz			4.16	4-9
J.Assad			3.74	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 4-4	-1.5+143	o9-115	-112
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-170	u9-105	-108

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

August 31, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

J.Wood o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (Live)-125

1.25u

WSH +110

Under 9-108

WSH +114

0.5u

Bet to +108

WSH +108 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +101

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 1.5 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (296 games). The Nationals have allowed 1.5 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fifth highest in MLB (296 games).

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Alex Kolodziej•
Aug 31, 2024 UTC

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The Cubs are 30-7 (.811) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Cubs are 20-10 (.667) after a home loss this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Nationals are just 10-18 (.357) after a road win this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

CJ Abrams is batting just .224 with RISP since last season -- tied for 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .130 (27-for-207) against Javier Assad with RISP since last season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Jacob Young has an OPS of just .649 with RISP this season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .414 (127 PAs) with RISP this season -- second best among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed a slugging percentage of .556 (15 Total Bases / 27 ABs) against right-handed batters in his last two starts -- 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .379 -- 12th Percentile.

Javier Assad has an average spin rate of 1946.3 RPM on fastballs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 2236.9 -- second Percentile.

Davidjohn Herz has a strikeout rate of 45% (27 SO in 60 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	78-84	33-48	45-36	5-15	72-69
Cubs	78-84	39-42	39-42	55-60	22-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	81-73-8	40-37-4	41-36-4	8-12	72-61-8
Cubs	74-78-10	40-36-5	34-42-5	52-56-7	22-21-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	66-96	32-49	34-47	7-13	58-83
Cubs	92-70	50-31	42-39	73-42	18-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 30th	CHC	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8	CHC +135
Aug 28th	NYY	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH +185
Aug 27th	NYY	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH +212
Aug 26th	NYY	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 9	NYY +157
Aug 25th	@ATL	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	WSH +160

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	90	6	4	3
RT.Miller, P	19	1	2	0
RJ.Lopez, P	15	1	1	0
RP.Hodge, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	1
2D.Swanson, SS	1-4	0	1
3S.Suzuki, DH	1-4	0	0
4C.Bellinger, RF	0-4	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	1-2	1	0
6M.Busch, 1B	1-3	1	0
7N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	2	0
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-3	0	1
9C.Bethancourt, C	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Herz, P	87	4.2	5	4
RJ.Barnes, P	5	0.1	0	0
LR.Garcia, P	27	2	0	0
RE.Salazar, P	9	0.2	0	0
LJ.La Sorsa, P	4	0.1	0	0
RT.Rainey, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Crews, RF	1-5	0	0	0
2J.Wood, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3L.Garcia, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Chaparro, DH	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Tena, 3B	3-3	1	0	0
6C.Abrams, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
8D.Millas, C	2-4	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-3	1	0	0