Cubs vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 25, 2023

Cubs at Pirates

11:05 pm • SportsNet PT

Chicago Cubs

31-27

1 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.21	13-9
K.Hendricks			3.75	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 31-27	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pirates 30-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 11:05 p.m.

August 25, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT u3.5+118

1.18u

K.Hendricks o17.5 Outs-122

Under 4.5 (F5)-105

0.95u

CHC u4.5-115

0.5u

Pairs w/ PIT side to combine for 1 unit. Keller appears back on track.

PIT -102

Over 8.5-120

PIT -104 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -110

PIT +105

0.53u

Bet to +100

PIT +105

0.53u

Hendricks (4.64 SIERA/4.21 xERA), Keller (3.81/3.95 - 3.68 SIERA L30 days) -

Featured Insight
The Pirates are batting just .229 versus relief pitchers this season -- sixth-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .224 (365-for-1,629) against CubsRPs this season -- third-best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 3.4 runs per game while leading this season -- third-highest in MLB (92 games). The Pirates have allowed 3.1 runs per game while trailing this season -- sixth-highest in MLB (97 games).

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The Pirates are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

28% of Cody Bellinger strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 51% of Mitch Keller's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

40% of Cody Bellinger strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- highest in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 57% of Mitch Keller's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Mitch Keller allowed a batting average of .346 vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)-- 10th Percentile and just .150 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (eighth best among qualified SPs)-- 87th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 21% (107/520) against Mitch Keller this season -- 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 14th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.1 MPH on fastballs since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks allowed a batting average of just .172 vs right-handed batters (sixth best)-- 91st Percentile and .350 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth worst among qualified SPs)-- 16th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12
Cubs	23-35	12-17	11-18	14-23	9-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2
Cubs	33-25	15-14	18-11	19-18	14-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14
Cubs	31-27	18-11	13-16	21-16	10-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 24th	CHC	L 4-5	-	-	-
Aug 23rd	STL	L 4-6	-	-	-
Aug 22nd	STL	W 6-3	-	-	-
Aug 21st	STL	W 11-1	-	-	-
Aug 20th	@MIN	L 0-2	-	-	-

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	94	5.2	4	2
RJ.Cuas, P	24	1.1	0	0
LD.Smyly, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	2-4	1	1	1
4C.Bellinger, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
6S.Suzuki, RF	2-4	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	0-2	0	0	0
9N.Madrigal, 3B	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P		93	8	6	0
RD.Bednar, P		21	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Hayes, 3B	2-3	1	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	1	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	1
4J.Palacios, RF	0-4	0	1
5C.Joe, 1B	1-3	0	0
5A.Rivas, 1B	0-0	0	0
6J.Suwinski, CF	1-4	0	0
7J.Bae, 2B	0-3	0	0
8A.Williams, SS	1-2	0	0
9J.Delay, C	1-3	0	0