Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - September 25, 2024

Giants at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • NBCS-BA
11 - 0
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Brandon Pfaadt logoB.PfaadtArizona Diamondbacks logo4.7111-10
Logan Webb logoL.WebbSan Francisco Giants logo3.4713-10

Giants at Diamondbacks Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants
0-0
+1.5
+1.5-163
o8-113
+135
Diamondbacks
0-0
u7.5
-1.5+137
u8-108
-161
location pinWednesday 1:40 a.m.
September 25, 2024
Chase FieldPhoenix
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Expert Picks
JB Bets
JB Bets
78d ago
Last 30d: 40-16-0 (+18.3u)
ARI -145
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
78d ago
Last 30d: 109-99-5 (+2.0u)
ARI -145
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Logan Webb has been reliable for the Giants this season, but his performance on the road has been notably weaker. His 4.36 road ERA and opponents' .280 average away from home make him vulnerable in this matchup. While Webb has been strong under the lights, his recent form is concerning. In September, his ERA has ballooned to 6.43, with opponents hitting .330 against him. Despite maintaining a high strikeout rate, his inability to keep runners off base is troubling, especially against a Diamondbacks offense that has consistently performed against right-handed pitching, hitting .249 overall and .259 at home. The Giants' offense has been a weak spot all season, ranking in the bottom 10 in overall batting average. Their struggles are even more pronounced on the road, where they hit just .225 against right-handed pitchers. This lack of offensive firepower is problematic, particularly with Webb's vulnerability on the mound. San Francisco's inconsistency at the plate should allow Arizona to capitalize, especially considering the Giants' weak away performance. On the other hand, Arizona is sending Brandon Pfaadt to the mound, who has shown improvement in his recent outings. In his last two starts against the Giants, Pfaadt allowed only two runs combined, including a dominant seven-inning performance where he gave up just one run on two hits while striking out seven. His recent form and familiarity with the Giants' lineup should give the Diamondbacks a strong edge, as he has proven he can effectively limit their offensive production. Arizona’s offense is a force to be reckoned with, as they boast the highest run average in baseball at 5.52 runs per game and rank second in overall batting average. In September, their offense has been red-hot, hitting above .280 and extending hits at an elite rate. Additionally, the Diamondbacks excel in discipline at the plate, ranking in the top 10 in both walks and strikeouts per game, which should further pressure Webb, who has been struggling with command recently. While both bullpens are nearly identical in performance, with San Francisco holding a slight edge with a 3.14 ERA compared to Arizona's 3.30 ERA, the Diamondbacks' superior offense and Pfaadt’s recent dominance against the Giants give Arizona the clear edge in this matchup. With the Giants' offensive struggles and Webb's shaky September, Arizona’s hot bats should be able to secure a home victory.
Over 8-115
0.87u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Both starting pitchers, while capable, have shown notable vulnerabilities that should allow the bats to come alive on both sides. Logan Webb, the Giants' starter, has struggled on the road all season, with a 4.36 ERA and opponents hitting a solid .280 against him. His recent form has been especially concerning—over the course of September, his ERA has ballooned to 6.43, and opponents are hitting a strong .330 against him. Even with Webb's ability to keep the ball in the park, his current form and vulnerability to allowing base runners are signs that Arizona’s potent offense could cause serious damage. The Diamondbacks have one of the most dangerous offenses in the league, ranking second in overall batting average and averaging 5.52 runs per game, the best in baseball. They've been even hotter in September, hitting over .280 and consistently extending hits into extra bases. Facing a vulnerable Webb, Arizona’s lineup, which ranks in the top 10 in both walks and strikeouts per game, should be able to rack up runs early and often. Webb's struggles in his last few outings suggest Arizona’s disciplined approach at the plate could lead to multiple run-scoring opportunities. On the flip side, Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt has been just as inconsistent, especially at home. In 14 home starts, Pfaadt has allowed 11 home runs, and his opponent batting average (OBA) has crept above his season mark. Under the lights, he’s struggled even more, posting his weakest OBA when pitching at night. His control, while usually steady with only around one walk per start, has faltered recently. In September, Pfaadt's ERA has shot up to 7.58, and his walk issuance has nearly doubled to two per start. This is compounded by a concerning .321 OBA this month, suggesting that San Francisco's lineup should have ample opportunities to cash in on Pfaadt's struggles. Although the Giants' offense has been inconsistent, they still have the potential to capitalize on Pfaadt’s September slump, especially with their .225 batting average against righties on the road. While not an elite lineup, they are capable of stringing together hits against a struggling pitcher, and Pfaadt’s recent woes provide the perfect setup for a breakout game from San Francisco's offense.
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
78d ago
Last 30d: 9-10-0 (-1.8u)
K.Marte o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130
1u
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
79d ago
Last 30d: 15-12-1 (-0.9u)
ARI -132 (F5)
1.32u
Under 8.5-120
1.2u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
79d ago
Last 30d: 19-36-0 (-5.3u)
Under 8.5-118
0.59u
Bet to 8 (-110)

PRO Insights

Giants logo

Giants

SF Insights
  • Giants logoThe Giants are batting .368 with RISP over the last week -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Diamondbacks RPs with RISP over the last week -- second worst in MLB.
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Diamondbacks logo

Diamondbacks

ARI Insights
  • Diamondbacks logoDiamondbacks have a strikeout rate of 32% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB. Giants right-handed hitters have struck out 50% against LHP over the last week -- highest in MLB.
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Giants vs. Diamondbacks Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Giants vs. Diamondbacks Public Betting Percentages

17%

Bets%

83%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Diamondbacks
82-8037-4445-3637-4843-31
Giants
77-8537-4440-4134-4642-38

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Diamondbacks
92-64-650-29-242-35-450-33-241-29-4
Giants
82-72-836-43-246-29-633-45-248-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Diamondbacks
89-7344-3745-3652-3335-39
Giants
80-8242-3938-4345-3534-46

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 24thSFL 3-6-1.5 LU 9SF -191
Sep 22nd@MILL 9-10+1.5 WO 8MIL +115
Sep 21st@MILW 5-0-1.5 WU 8ARI -110
Sep 21st@MILW 7-4-1.5 WO 8.5ARI -135
Sep 19th@MILW 5-1-1.5 WU 8.5ARI -125

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates

Giants Injuries

  • Robbie Ray
    P

    Ray is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Wilmer Flores
    IF

    Flores is out with knee

    Out

  • Jordan Hicks
    P

    Hicks is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Kyle Harrison
    P

    Harrison is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Keaton Winn
    P

    Winn is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jung Hoo Lee
    OF

    Lee is out with shoulder

    Out

Diamondbacks Injuries

  • Ryne Nelson
    P

    Nelson is out with shoulder

    Out

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Box Score
Giants Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Logan Webb logoRL.Webb, P95630
Tristan Beck logoRT.Beck, P12100
Austin Warren logoRA.Warren, P37220
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Mike Yastrzemski logo1M.Yastrzemski, RF1-5100
Heliot Ramos logo2H.Ramos, DH4-5211
LaMonte Wade logo3L.Wade, 1B1-3100
Matt Chapman logo4M.Chapman, 3B0-4000
Casey Schmitt logo4C.Schmitt, 3B0-0001
Michael Conforto logo5M.Conforto, LF1-5113
Jerar Encarnacion logo5J.Encarnacion, LF0-0000
Patrick Bailey logo6P.Bailey, C2-4311
Tyler Fitzgerald logo7T.Fitzgerald, SS2-4112
Grant McCray logo8G.McCray, CF1-5100
Brett Wisely logo9B.Wisely, 2B2-5113
Diamondbacks Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Brandon Pfaadt logoRB.Pfaadt, P622.244
Blake Walston logoLB.Walston, P482.113
Yilber Diaz logoRY.Diaz, P432.211
Brandon Hughes logoLB.Hughes, P161.110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Corbin Carroll logo1C.Carroll, RF2-4000
Corbin Carroll logo1C.Carroll, CF2-4000
Ketel Marte logo2K.Marte, 2B1-3000
Jose Herrera logo2J.Herrera, 3B0-0000
Joc Pederson logo3J.Pederson, DH0-3000
Josh Bell logo3J.Bell, PH1-1000
Christian Walker logo4C.Walker, 1B0-4000
Lourdes Gurriel logo5L.Gurriel, LF2-4000
Jake McCarthy logo6J.McCarthy, CF0-3000
Pavin Smith logo6P.Smith, RF0-0000
Eugenio Suarez logo7E.Suarez, 3B0-3000
Kevin Newman logo7K.Newman, 3B0-1000
Kevin Newman logo7K.Newman, 2B0-1000
Gabriel Moreno logo8G.Moreno, C0-3000
Geraldo Perdomo logo9G.Perdomo, SS0-3000

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds Comparison

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Giants at Diamondbacks Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Giants
0-0
o3.5-115
u3.5-115
Diamondbacks
0-0
o4.5+105
u4.5-135