Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - September 25, 2024
Giants at Diamondbacks
1:40 am • NBCS-BAStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
B.Pfaadt | 4.71 | 11-10 | ||
L.Webb | 3.47 | 13-10 |
Giants at Diamondbacks Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Giants 0-0 | +1.5 | +1.5-163 | o8-113 | +135 |
Diamondbacks 0-0 | u7.5 | -1.5+137 | u8-108 | -161 |
Wednesday 1:40 a.m.
September 25, 2024Chase FieldPhoenix
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Expert Picks
JB Bets
78d ago
Last 30d: 40-16-0 (+18.3u)
ARI -145
1u
Picks Office
78d ago
Last 30d: 109-99-5 (+2.0u)
ARI -145
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Logan Webb has been reliable for the Giants this season, but his performance on the road has been notably weaker. His 4.36 road ERA and opponents' .280 average away from home make him vulnerable in this matchup. While Webb has been strong under the lights, his recent form is concerning. In September, his ERA has ballooned to 6.43, with opponents hitting .330 against him. Despite maintaining a high strikeout rate, his inability to keep runners off base is troubling, especially against a Diamondbacks offense that has consistently performed against right-handed pitching, hitting .249 overall and .259 at home.
The Giants' offense has been a weak spot all season, ranking in the bottom 10 in overall batting average. Their struggles are even more pronounced on the road, where they hit just .225 against right-handed pitchers. This lack of offensive firepower is problematic, particularly with Webb's vulnerability on the mound. San Francisco's inconsistency at the plate should allow Arizona to capitalize, especially considering the Giants' weak away performance.
On the other hand, Arizona is sending Brandon Pfaadt to the mound, who has shown improvement in his recent outings. In his last two starts against the Giants, Pfaadt allowed only two runs combined, including a dominant seven-inning performance where he gave up just one run on two hits while striking out seven. His recent form and familiarity with the Giants' lineup should give the Diamondbacks a strong edge, as he has proven he can effectively limit their offensive production.
Arizona’s offense is a force to be reckoned with, as they boast the highest run average in baseball at 5.52 runs per game and rank second in overall batting average. In September, their offense has been red-hot, hitting above .280 and extending hits at an elite rate. Additionally, the Diamondbacks excel in discipline at the plate, ranking in the top 10 in both walks and strikeouts per game, which should further pressure Webb, who has been struggling with command recently.
While both bullpens are nearly identical in performance, with San Francisco holding a slight edge with a 3.14 ERA compared to Arizona's 3.30 ERA, the Diamondbacks' superior offense and Pfaadt’s recent dominance against the Giants give Arizona the clear edge in this matchup. With the Giants' offensive struggles and Webb's shaky September, Arizona’s hot bats should be able to secure a home victory.
Over 8-115
0.87u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Both starting pitchers, while capable, have shown notable vulnerabilities that should allow the bats to come alive on both sides. Logan Webb, the Giants' starter, has struggled on the road all season, with a 4.36 ERA and opponents hitting a solid .280 against him. His recent form has been especially concerning—over the course of September, his ERA has ballooned to 6.43, and opponents are hitting a strong .330 against him. Even with Webb's ability to keep the ball in the park, his current form and vulnerability to allowing base runners are signs that Arizona’s potent offense could cause serious damage.
The Diamondbacks have one of the most dangerous offenses in the league, ranking second in overall batting average and averaging 5.52 runs per game, the best in baseball. They've been even hotter in September, hitting over .280 and consistently extending hits into extra bases. Facing a vulnerable Webb, Arizona’s lineup, which ranks in the top 10 in both walks and strikeouts per game, should be able to rack up runs early and often. Webb's struggles in his last few outings suggest Arizona’s disciplined approach at the plate could lead to multiple run-scoring opportunities.
On the flip side, Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt has been just as inconsistent, especially at home. In 14 home starts, Pfaadt has allowed 11 home runs, and his opponent batting average (OBA) has crept above his season mark. Under the lights, he’s struggled even more, posting his weakest OBA when pitching at night. His control, while usually steady with only around one walk per start, has faltered recently. In September, Pfaadt's ERA has shot up to 7.58, and his walk issuance has nearly doubled to two per start. This is compounded by a concerning .321 OBA this month, suggesting that San Francisco's lineup should have ample opportunities to cash in on Pfaadt's struggles.
Although the Giants' offense has been inconsistent, they still have the potential to capitalize on Pfaadt’s September slump, especially with their .225 batting average against righties on the road. While not an elite lineup, they are capable of stringing together hits against a struggling pitcher, and Pfaadt’s recent woes provide the perfect setup for a breakout game from San Francisco's offense.
Firefighter Bets
78d ago
Last 30d: 9-10-0 (-1.8u)
K.Marte o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130
1u
BJ Cunningham
79d ago
Last 30d: 15-12-1 (-0.9u)
ARI -132 (F5)
1.32u
Under 8.5-120
1.2u
Sean Zerillo
79d ago
Last 30d: 19-36-0 (-5.3u)
Under 8.5-118
0.59u
Bet to 8 (-110)
PRO Insights
Giants
SF Insights
- Featured InsightThe Giants are batting .368 with RISP over the last week -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Diamondbacks RPs with RISP over the last week -- second worst in MLB.
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Diamondbacks
ARI Insights
- Featured InsightDiamondbacks have a strikeout rate of 32% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB. Giants right-handed hitters have struck out 50% against LHP over the last week -- highest in MLB.
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Giants vs. Diamondbacks Previews & Analysis
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks | 82-80 | 37-44 | 45-36 | 37-48 | 43-31 |
Giants | 77-85 | 37-44 | 40-41 | 34-46 | 42-38 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks | 92-64-6 | 50-29-2 | 42-35-4 | 50-33-2 | 41-29-4 |
Giants | 82-72-8 | 36-43-2 | 46-29-6 | 33-45-2 | 48-26-6 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks | 89-73 | 44-37 | 45-36 | 52-33 | 35-39 |
Giants | 80-82 | 42-39 | 38-43 | 45-35 | 34-46 |
Last 5 Matchups
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates
Giants Injuries
- Robbie RayP
Ray is out with hamstring
Out
- Wilmer FloresIF
Flores is out with knee
Out
- Jordan HicksP
Hicks is out with shoulder
Out
- Kyle HarrisonP
Harrison is out with shoulder
Out
- Keaton WinnP
Winn is out with elbow
Out
- Jung Hoo LeeOF
Lee is out with shoulder
Out
Diamondbacks Injuries
- Ryne NelsonP
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Box Score
Giants Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RL.Webb, P | 95 | 6 | 3 | 0 | |
RT.Beck, P | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RA.Warren, P | 37 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1M.Yastrzemski, RF | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2H.Ramos, DH | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
3L.Wade, 1B | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4M.Chapman, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4C.Schmitt, 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5M.Conforto, LF | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
5J.Encarnacion, LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6P.Bailey, C | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
7T.Fitzgerald, SS | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
8G.McCray, CF | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9B.Wisely, 2B | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Diamondbacks Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RB.Pfaadt, P | 62 | 2.2 | 4 | 4 | |
LB.Walston, P | 48 | 2.1 | 1 | 3 | |
RY.Diaz, P | 43 | 2.2 | 1 | 1 | |
LB.Hughes, P | 16 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1C.Carroll, RF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1C.Carroll, CF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2K.Marte, 2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2J.Herrera, 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Pederson, DH | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Bell, PH | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4C.Walker, 1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5L.Gurriel, LF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.McCarthy, CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6P.Smith, RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7E.Suarez, 3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7K.Newman, 3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7K.Newman, 2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8G.Moreno, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9G.Perdomo, SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds Comparison
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Giants at Diamondbacks Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Giants 0-0 | o3.5-115 | u3.5-115 |
Diamondbacks 0-0 | o4.5+105 | u4.5-135 |