Giants vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 16, 2026

Giants at Reds

4:40 pm • NBCS-BA

San Francisco Giants

27-40

3 - 0

Cincinnati Reds

31-34

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burns			2.14	7-1
L.Roupp			4.01	5-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 27-40	PK	-1.5+170	o8-115	+105
Reds 31-34	u8.5	+1.5-203	u8-104	-125

Thursday 4:40 p.m.

April 16, 2026

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

SF +117

0.59u

Sweep avoid 🧹 Best price in the market (NoVig)

CIN -130

0.5u

S.Stewart o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.75u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

Under 8.5-120

D.Gilbert u0.5 Hits+110

1.1u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.48 hits for Drew Gilbert compared to 0.72 hits implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 62% of the time, resulting in a 30% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $29.93. This play is good down to at least -116. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

CIN -125

1.25u

C.Burns o6.5 Ks+101

$1.00

Under 8.5-120

0.5u

SF +116

1.16u

C.Burns o6.5 Ks+130

0.38u

SF +110

3.3u

SF +110

3.3u

SF +112

1.12u

Under 4.5 (F5)-138

Under 8.5-108

0.5u

Bet to 8 (-108)

CIN -120

Bet to -130

Under 8.5-115

0.5u

Two play here. Both prices on FD. One a bit a hedge of the other. Roupp 18.9 K-BB%, 54.3 GB%, 0 Barrels/Burns 16.3 SwStr%, but 11.4 BB%, 13.6% Barrels - Both offenses < 75 wRC+ v RHP this season, but SFG proj. LU 10 point edge vs RHP since LY - both projected defenses +20 FRV LY. Would play F5

SF +110 (F5)

0.5u

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 20-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Reds' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	35-31	15-17	20-14	12-10	23-21
Giants	29-39	12-18	17-21	8-15	21-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	41-24-1	21-11	20-13-1	14-8	27-16-1
Giants	33-31-4	15-13-2	18-18-2	15-6-2	17-25-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	32-34	16-16	16-18	13-9	19-25
Giants	27-41	12-18	15-23	10-13	17-27

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 15th	SF	W 8-3	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -108
Apr 14th	SF	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN -115
Apr 12th	LAA	L 6-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAA -105
Apr 11th	LAA	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -130
Apr 10th	LAA	L 2-10	-1.5 L	O 9	LAA -190

Hunter Greene
P
Greene is out with elbow
Out

Hayden Birdsong
P
Birdsong is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RL.Roupp, P	87	6	6
RR.Walker, P	17	1	1
RK.Winn, P	12	1	2
LE.Miller, P	24	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	0-4	1	0
2W.Adames, SS	1-3	0	0
3R.Devers, 1B	0-4	0	0
4M.Chapman, 3B	1-4	1	1
5J.Lee, RF	3-4	1	1
6W.Brennan, LF	0-2	0	0
6H.Ramos, PH	0-1	0	0
6H.Ramos, LF	0-1	0	0
7C.Schmitt, DH	1-4	0	1
8D.Gilbert, CF	0-2	0	0
9P.Bailey, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RC.Burns, P	87	6	4
LB.Burke, P	15	0.2	2
RC.Phillips, P	23	1	2
LS.Moll, P	11	0.2	1
RK.Nicolas, P	10	0.2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-2	0	0	0
1D.Myers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2M.McLain, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Stewart, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6S.Steer, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7R.Hinds, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Hayes, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9P.Higgins, C	1-2	0	0	0