Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 12, 2024

Marlins at Mets

11:10 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

19-28

4 - 10

New York Mets

29-20

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			2.90	10-3
B.Garrett			5.35	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 19-28	+1.5-164	o7.5-115	+135
Mets 29-20	-1.5+136	u7.5-105	-160

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

June 12, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM -1.5+143

1.43u

NYM -153

1.31u

NYM -150

D.Peterson o4.5 Ks-145

1.45u

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road this season -- highest in MLB (29 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.8 runs per game at home this season -- highest in MLB (37 games).

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The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

Jeff McNeil has an OPS of just .687 since last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .516 (423 PAs) since last season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Pete Alonso slugged .519 on breaking pitches in the 2022 season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Tanner Scott threw a breaking pitch 62% of the time in the 2022 season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (75/134) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 36% -- 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (309/579) of right-handed hitters since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 66% -- 0 Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has walked 20 of 586 right-handed batters (3%) since last season -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 10-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Mets' 22 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	22-26	12-10	10-16	15-20	7-6
Marlins	24-22	14-12	10-10	2-4	21-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	17-30-1	7-14-1	10-16	16-18-1	1-12
Marlins	28-18	15-11	13-7	3-3	25-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	29-19	17-5	12-14	23-12	6-7
Marlins	19-27	13-13	6-14	4-2	15-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 11th	MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -155
Jun 9th	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	U 11.5	NYM +120
Jun 8th	PHI	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +140
Jun 5th	@WSH	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -142
Jun 4th	@WSH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -142

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
SP
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Frankie Montas
SP
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
SP
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
SS
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	89	4.2	4	4
RJ.Chargois, P	21	1.1	1	0
RD.Cronin, P	16	0.2	0	2
RB.Smith, P	25	1.1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Lopez, 2B	1-5	1	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	1	1
3J.Bell, DH	0-3	0	0
4J.Burger, 1B	1-3	1	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	0	1
6T.Anderson, SS	2-4	0	0
7D.Myers, RF	1-2	1	1
7J.Sanchez, PH	0-2	0	0
7J.Sanchez, RF	0-2	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	1-3	0	1
8V.Brujan, PH	0-1	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0
9N.Gordon, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	84	5	1	4
RD.Nunez, P	29	2.1	5	0
LJ.Diekman, P	17	0.2	0	0
RR.Garrett, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-5	2	1	1
2H.Bader, CF	2-5	2	1	2
3J.Martinez, DH	1-5	0	0	1
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	2-4	2	1	2
6T.Taylor, LF	4-5	1	0	0
7M.Vientos, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
8F.Alvarez, C	1-4	0	0	2
9J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	1	0	0