Marlins vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - July 9, 2025

A. Abbott ⬇️ 2.5 ER's (-120 @ DraftKings)(CIN) We'll start from a +EV angle. Here is this under on sharper books: Caesars: -160 Pinnacle: -173 Nice to kick off with 40+ points of value. MIA's offense has actually been pretty good lately, but not necessarily against LHP. They rank just 20th in OPS vs LHP over the last 30 days. Here are the last 10 lefty starters they have faced and their stat line: Rodriguez: 5.1 IP, 1 ER, 4 HA, 6 K's Sanchez: 8 IP, 1 ER, 5 HA, 4 K's Suarez: 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 HA, 8 K's Luzardo: 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 HA, 4 K's Gore: 6 IP, 2 ER, 8 HA, 5 K's Parker: 3.1 IP, 6 ER, 8 HA, 3 K's Falter: 5.1 IP, 1 ER, 5 HA, 3 K's Freeland: 6.1 IP, 0 ER, 4 HA, 4 K's Ray: 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 HA, 9 K's Harrison: 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 HA, 5 K's So 8 of the last 10 lefties have finished under this mark. He was also snubbed from the AS roster, despite having a 7-1 record, 2.15 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. The underlying numbers look great too. A lot to like here for Abbott, who has been under this mark in 12 of 15 starts this season and 7 of 8 at home.

Shaky Favorites, Silent Scores Overall: 501-345-37,59% (ROI:14%) Season:8-7-0,53% (ROI:2%) Ace, Atmosphere Overall: 367-233-24,61% (ROI:18%) Season:12-8-0,60% (ROI:14%)