Orioles vs Guardians Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 21, 2025

Orioles at Guardians

10:40 pm • MASN2

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

5 - 10

Cleveland Guardians

5-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			4.25	12-11
T.Sugano			4.64	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-182	o8.5-105	+118
Guardians 5-6	u8	-1.5+151	u8.5-115	-143

Monday 10:40 p.m.

July 21, 2025

Progressive FieldCleveland

Over 8-115

0.25u

Small to 8.5 (-105)

T.Sugano o15.5 Outs+100

A.Martinez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+110

$1.10

CLE -135

0.74u

CLE -1.5+160

1.6u

CLE -137

Under 8.5-114

0.57u

Have a slight lean on the under here as I’m projecting this closer to 8.2. Backing Sugano is scary given he’s a pitch-to-contact player but he limits walks and this Guardians offense is potentially a bottom-5 offense. Trusting Bibee to slow down the Orioles as he has a 4.29 ERA but a 3.64 xERA under it. Let’s roll the dice here.

Under 4.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

Wind-In First 5 Unders (***) Overall: 312-200-32,61% (ROI:17%) Season:24-6-0,80% (ROI:52%)

Under 8.5-115

1.15u

Wind Wins Unders (***) Overall: 1071-732-81,59% (ROI:14%) Season:40-34-3,54% (ROI:3%)

Over 8-120

0.83u

Game 1 Overs ( O/U 8-8.5 ) 95-48-3 (66.43%) 26.28% ROI 2 Straight Overs + Underdog Previous Game 51-23 (68.92%) 31.57% ROI Dan Bellino Ump Trends 7-1 to the over with the line between 8-8.5 in 2025 75-34 to the over when the home team is favored

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	79-83	36-45	43-38	43-55	36-24
Orioles	84-77	43-38	41-39	34-39	49-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	77-85	42-39	35-46	48-50	27-33
Orioles	80-77-4	35-43-3	45-34-1	33-38-2	46-38-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	85-77	41-40	44-37	55-43	30-30
Orioles	79-82	39-42	40-40	39-34	39-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 20th	ATH	W 8-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -106
Jul 19th	ATH	L 2-8	-1.5 L	O 9	ATH -134
Jul 18th	ATH	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 8	CLE -134
Jul 13th	@CWS	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -142
Jul 12th	@CWS	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE -141

Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Sugano, P	90	3.2	4	3
RC.Martin, P	22	1	1	1
RC.Selby, P	22	1.1	0	1
LG.Wolfram, P	39	2	2	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Holliday, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2J.Westburg, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
3G.Henderson, SS	1-4	1	0	1
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
5R.Laureano, LF	2-4	1	1	4
6C.Cowser, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7T.O'Neill, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	86	7	4	3
LK.Allard, P	14	1	2	0
RH.Gaddis, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-3	1	0	0
2A.Martinez, CF	2-5	2	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-5	3	1	3
4K.Manzardo, DH	2-3	1	1	1
4D.Fry, PH	0-2	1	0	0
4D.Fry, DH	0-2	1	0	0
5C.Santana, 1B	2-5	0	0	1
6N.Jones, RF	1-4	1	0	1
7D.Schneemann, 2B	0-3	0	0	1
8B.Rocchio, SS	2-4	0	0	2
9B.Naylor, C	2-5	1	1	1