Red Sox vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 22, 2023

Red Sox at Brewers

12:10 am • BSWI

Boston Red Sox

1-2

5 - 3

Milwaukee Brewers

3-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Peralta			3.86	12-10
N.Pivetta			4.04	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Brewers 3-6	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

April 22, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

F.Peralta o1.5 BB-135

Peralta has a BB/9 of 3.71 and based on his underlying metrics I would expect him to be closer to 3.84. Peralta isn’t getting hitters to chase pitches outside of the zone as much this season. He’s going to continue to have a high walk rate if that continues. Red Sox will have 6 LHB tonight which will only increase Peralta’s expected BB% who has walked RHB at an 8% rate compared to 13% against LHB in his career. Projecting this closer to -175

MIL -170

1.7u

W.Adames o1.5 Total Bases+116

1.16u

BOS u1.5 (F5)+105

Under 9-105

0.5u

Bet to -110

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Friday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 21, 2023 UTC
MLB Friday Betting Preview & Best Bets | Payoff Pitch Podcast
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 21, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Red Sox are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	@SEA	W 5-3	-	-	-
Apr 19th	@SEA	W 6-5	-	-	-
Apr 18th	@SEA	W 7-3	-	-	-
Apr 16th	@SD	W 1-0	-	-	-
Apr 15th	@SD	L 3-10	-	-	-

Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Coleman Crow
SP
Crow is out with elbow
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	100	5.2	7	3
RJ.Winckowski, P	41	2.1	4	0
RK.Jansen, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	2-5	1	1	2
2R.Devers, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-3	1	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	1-4	0	0	1
5E.Hernandez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
7R.McGuire, C	0-2	0	0	0
7R.Refsnyder, PH	1-1	0	0	1
7C.Wong, C	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Duran, CF	2-4	1	0	1
9Y. Chang, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	99	5.2	4	4
LH.Milner, P	18	1	0	0
RB.Wilson, P	33	2.1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	1-4	0	0	1
2J.Winker, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Adames, SS	1-4	0	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
5W.Contreras, C	2-4	1	0	0
5B.Perkins, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5V.Caratini, C	0-0	0	0	0
6B.Anderson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Turang, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8O.Miller, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	1-4	0	0	0