Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - July 5, 2024
Red Sox at Yankees
11:05 pm • NESNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.77 | 9-10 | |
 |  | 3.12 | 9-10 |
Red Sox at Yankees Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox 1-2 | +1.5-175 | o8-115 | +121 | |
Yankees 3-4 | -1.5+145 | u8-105 | -143 | |
Yankee StadiumBronx
Red Sox vs. Yankees Expert Picks
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 44-43-0 (+1.9u)
BOS +132 (Live)
1.32u
David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
Over 8-115
2u
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 56-59-1 (-7.1u)
Over 8-110
1.1u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 73-75-2 (-15.7u)
BOS +120
3.6u
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 49-38-2 (+17.2u)
N.Cortes o4.5 Hits Allowed-135
1u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 41-87-0 (+11.4u)
N.Cortes u17.5 Outs+145
1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 2-1-0 (+1.0u)
BOS +120
1.8u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 79-105-5 (-0.1u)
Over 8-115
0.58u
Bet to 8.5 (-105)
PRO Insights
Red Sox
BOS Insights
- Featured InsightRed Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% over the last two weeks -- tied for second best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 45% against the Yankees RPs over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.
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Yankees
NYY Insights
- Featured InsightThe Yankees have scored 6.3 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for highest in MLB (6 games). The Red Sox have allowed 7.2 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (5 games).
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Red Sox vs. Yankees Previews & Analysis
Red Sox vs. Yankees Notes
Keys to the Game
The Yankees are 23-4 (.852) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .755.
The Yankees are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .055.
Matchup Contrasts
Juan Soto has an OPS of .917 since the 2022 season -- sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Josh Winckowski has allowed an OPS of .769 (840 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (83/252) against Nestor Cortes this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (61/201) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- first Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Red Sox vs. Yankees Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Yankees are 35-46 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Yankees' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Yankees' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Red Sox vs. Yankees Injury Updates
Red Sox Injuries
- Tanner HouckSP
Houck is out with arm
Out
- Patrick SandovalSP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
- Kutter CrawfordSP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
- Jovani MoranRP
Moran is out with arm
Out
Yankees Injuries
- Gerrit ColeSP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Red Sox vs. Yankees Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 68 | 3.1 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 30 | 2.2 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Yankees Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 97 | 6 | 8 | 1 | |
 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds Comparison
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Red Sox at Yankees Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Red Sox 1-2 | o3.5-125 | u3.5-105 |
Yankees 3-4 | o4.5+114 | u4.5-145 |