Reds vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2026

Reds at Cubs

11:40 pm • MARQ

Cincinnati Reds

37-40

2 - 3

Chicago Cubs

40-37

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Taillon			5.19	2-5
A.Abbott			3.83	5-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 37-40	+1.5	+1.5-149	o8-117	+138
Cubs 40-37	u8.5	-1.5+129	u8-105	-165

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

May 05, 2026

Wrigley FieldChicago

CIN +137

2.01u

📚Onyx

M.Amaya u0.5 Hits+119

1.19u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.52 hits for Miguel Amaya compared to 0.75 hits implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 59% of the time, resulting in a 29% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $29.39. This play is good down to at least -116. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

Under 8+100

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Wrigley sits at 52 degrees with a 7 mph right-to-left wind, which is not the setup you want if you need 9 runs. Taillon brings a 1.15 WHIP over 34.2 innings, and Chicago has scored 5 or fewer in 9 of its last 10. Abbott's ERA is the scare, but Cincinnati has allowed 2 or fewer in 6 of its last 10, so the under case is not built on wishful thinking.

CHC -0.5 (F5)-106

1.06u

Under 4.5 (F5)-122

N.Hoerner To Record 1+ Stolen Bases Yes+650

0.08u

#EV 8.99%

Under 8.5-115

0.43u

@Zerillo ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/JSRRLRwFT2b

A.Abbott o15.5 Outs-112

Under 8.5-125

A.Bregman o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-122

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+125

$1.00

Under 8.5-120

0.5u

Bet to 8 (-110)

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 15-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Cubs' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	29-48	14-26	15-22	19-34	10-14
Reds	42-35	19-20	23-15	13-11	29-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	40-37	21-19	19-18	26-27	14-10
Reds	45-31-1	23-16	22-15-1	15-9	30-22-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	40-37	23-17	17-20	29-24	11-13
Reds	37-40	19-20	18-20	14-10	23-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	CIN	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 11.5	CHC -219
May 3rd	ARI	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 11.5	CHC -157
May 2nd	ARI	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7	CHC -170
May 1st	ARI	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 7	CHC -149
Apr 29th	@SD	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CHC -104

Hunter Greene
SP
Greene is out with elbow
Out

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	98	5.2	4	0
RC.Phillips, P	28	1.1	2	1
RT.Santillan, P	17	1	1	1
RE.Pagan, P	1	0	0	0
RJ.Franco, P	22	1	0	0
LS.Moll, P	2	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-5	0	0	0
1T.Friedl, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2J.Bleday, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2D.Myers, CF	0-0	0	0	0
3E.De La Cruz, SS	0-5	0	0	0
4S.Stewart, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5N.Lowe, DH	2-4	1	1	1
6S.Steer, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7T.Stephenson, C	1-3	0	0	0
7B.Dunn, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7J.Trevino, C	0-0	0	0	0
8M.McLain, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	100	5.2	5	2
RJ.Assad, P	17	1.1	1	0
RJ.Webb, P	17	1	1	0
RD.Palencia, P	15	1	0	0
LR.Rolison, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, DH	1-4	0	0	1
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
3I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	1-5	1	0	0
6M.Busch, 1B	3-4	1	1	2
7M.Shaw, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
7M.Ballesteros, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7N.Lopez, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Conforto, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-4	1	0	0