Reds vs Royals Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - June 14, 2023

Reds at Royals

12:10 am • BSKC

Cincinnati Reds

43-52

7 - 4

Kansas City Royals

38-59

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Lynch			4.64	3-4
B.Lively			5.38	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 43-52	N/A	N/A	N/A
Royals 38-59	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 12:10 a.m.

June 15, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

KC -105

1.05u

See my Lynch K prop write up to see why I like his K upside. He’s been unlucky in a lot of key areas so far and think it’s a good time to buy low. Lively has been fairly lucky in key stats that will likely regress going forward. I would bet KC up to -115

D.Lynch o4.5 Ks-140

1.4u

His expected K/9 is 10.5 based on his underlying metrics. He uses a filthy change/slider combo on 50% of his pitches and is someone I want to invest in right now. The Reds will be sending 9 RHB against him, but Lynch’s K% is 4% higher against RHB in his career. Projecting this closer to -180

CIN -113

Under 9.5-110

1.1u

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+110

$1.00

B.Lively o4.5 Ks-105

The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.

The Reds are just 9-13 (.409) after a loss as favorites since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.

The Royals are just 18-49 (.269) this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 7-6 (.538) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .783.

Michael Massey has an OPS of just .597 this season -- fifth worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .393 (105 PAs) this season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

MJ Melendez has struck out in 30% of PA's this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has a strikeout rate of 47% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 19-31 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 23 of Royals' 47 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	40-57	21-26	19-31	14-21	25-36
Reds	50-45	24-26	26-19	15-13	35-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	47-49-1	23-23-1	24-26	21-14	26-34-1
Reds	53-41-1	27-23	26-18-1	18-10	35-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	38-59	21-26	17-33	16-19	21-40
Reds	43-52	22-28	21-24	16-12	27-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 14th	CIN	L 4-5	-	-	-
Jun 13th	CIN	L 4-5	-	-	-
Jun 11th	@BAL	L 3-11	-	-	-
Jun 10th	@BAL	L 1-6	-	-	-
Jun 9th	@BAL	L 2-3	-	-	-

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	95	5.2	4	2
LA.Young, P	18	1	0	1
RB.Farmer, P	7	0.1	0	0
RF.Cruz, P	20	1	1	0
RD.Duarte, P	22	0.1	0	1
RA.Diaz, P	10	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Newman, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
2M.McLain, 2B	2-4	2	1	3
3J.India, DH	2-4	1	1	2
4E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Steer, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
6T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, LF	1-3	1	1	1
8T. Hopkins, RF	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Barrero, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Lynch, P	102	7	3	7
RN. Wittgren, P	12	1	2	0
RJ.Cuas, P	13	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Pratto, 1B	1-5	1	0
2S.Perez, DH	0-1	0	0
2M.Garcia, PR	2-3	1	0
2M.Garcia, DH	2-3	1	0
3M.Melendez, RF	2-5	0	1
4B.Witt, SS	3-5	1	1
5M.Massey, 2B	0-3	0	0
6E.Olivares, LF	4-5	1	0
7N.Lopez, 3B	0-4	0	0
8F.Fermin, C	1-5	0	0
9D.Blanco, CF	2-5	0	1