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Aaron Judge Home Run Props Draw Heavy Action with American League Record Looming

Aaron Judge Home Run Props Draw Heavy Action with American League Record Looming article feature image
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AP Photo/Frank Franklin II. Pictured: Aaron Judge

Aaron Judge betting props are drawing extraordinary action with the Yankees slugger just one dinger away from tying Roger Maris’ single-season American League record of 61 home runs.

Aaron Judge to hit at least one home run against the Pittsburgh Pirates is drawing 6.5x more bets than any other home run prop at Caesars for Wednesday night’s slate of MLB games.

If the over (0.5) cashes, Judge would become the first player to hit 61 home runs in one season in more than 20 years.

Caesars declined to disclose how much was bet on the prop.

At BetMGM and BetRivers more bets are on Judge’s homer prop than the game itself.

Betting Varied

Most BetMGM bettors (70%) have Judge tying the record tonight, though more money’s on him failing to homer (57%).

At BetRivers 96% of the money and 91% of bets have Judge getting to 61 tonight.

That’s a big leap from last night, when 79% of money the book handled on Judge’s home run prop came in on the under — which of course lost as he notched his 60th.

At WynnBet Judge home runs is the game’s most bet on player prop, though a majority of bettors (84.6%) and whopping 93% of the money are on him missing the mark.

It’s the opposite at FanDuel, where Judge over 0.5 home runs is drawing 79% of bets and 87% the money.

Most Popular Bet

Judge has tallied 60 home runs in the 147 games this season, a home run about every 2.5 games.

He’s BetRivers’ most popular player to bet home runs this year, receiving more than three times as much money bet as Shohei Ohtani, the second most popular player to bet home runs.

PointsBet says it took more home run bets on Judge in September than the next two closest batters — Paul Goldschmidt and Ohttani — combined.

In August, DraftKings offered bet on whether Judge would hit over (+200) or under (-255) 61.5 home runs this season and break Maris’ record. It’s since stopped taking bets on it.

With 15 games left on the Yankees’ schedule, he’s on pace for 66 home runs — which would tie Sammy Sosa for the third most ever in a single season.

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