Will Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez Snap Near-Historic Losing Streak vs. Indians?

Will Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez Snap Near-Historic Losing Streak vs. Indians? article feature image

Credit: Kevin Sousa-USA TODAY Sports

Betting Odds: Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays

  • Indians moneyline: -175
  • Blue Jays moneyline: +160
  • Over/Under: 9.5
  • First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET

>> All odds as of Tuesday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets

Losing is never fun. Unfortunately for Aaron Sanchez, he and the Blue Jays have gotten used to it: They’re an abysmal 5-16 in his 21 starts this season. He hasn’t won a start since April 27 against the Oakland Athletics at home.

Using our Bet Labs database, let’s examine how Sanchez’s losing streak ranks in betting history.

The Blue Jays have lost 11 consecutive games started by Sanchez dating back to a home start against the Red Sox on May 22.

If you look back at Sanchez’s past 15 starts for Toronto, the Blue Jays are just 1-14 in those games, losing by 3.2 runs per game.

Sanchez is the least profitable starting pitcher in baseball this season, losing bettors $1,044 on a $100 per-game basis, including -$1,292 since May 1 — almost $500 more than any other pitcher.

In our Bet Labs database, which dates back to 2005, only 11 starting pitchers have had a losing streak of 11 or more games in a single season, and Sanchez is just the third pitcher on the list from the American League.

If Sanchez and the Jays were to lose on Tuesday night, he would join this club:

The most recent AL starter to lose at least 11 consecutive starts was Anibal Sanchez for the Detroit Tigers in 2016. The Tigers lost 11 consecutive starts by Anibal that season, losing by 4.09 runs per game: The exact same margin of Sanchez’s current 11-game losing streak.

Sometimes a starting pitcher’s betting success (or lack thereof) can be attributed to a team’s lack of offense while other times it can directly be attributed to a pitcher’s horrific season.

In the case of Sanchez and the Blue Jays, it’s a little bit of both.

Sanchez’s 6.26 ERA is the highest of his career, and his FIP (or Fielding Independent of Pitching) mark of 5.50 is his second-highest ever.

  • Only five starting pitchers have a higher ERA-FIP than Sanchez’s -0.76 margin this season, with the closest Blue Jay (Marcus Stroman) sitting at a -0.55 margin (ranked 60th in MLB).
  • Seventy-five starters have thrown at least 100 innings this season, and Sanchez’s 6.26 ERA is the highest by a full half run.
  • Of those 75 starters to throw 100 innings, Sanchez’s 4.15 average run support from the Blue Jays offense is the 12th-fewest in baseball and the lowest on Toronto by almost a half run.

During this streak, Sanchez has made some unfortunate history as well…

Sanchez and the Blue Jays will host the Indians on Tuesday night.

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