The Toronto Blue Jays host the Athletics on March 27, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-CA.
We've got a couple of teams having their Opening Day today. The defending AL pennant winners, the Blue Jays, are starting their season in Rogers Centre with Kevin Gausman on the mound against the A's Luis Severino.
The Blue Jays are favored by -172 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Athletics are +144 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Athletics vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Athletics vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Athletics vs Blue Jays Pick: Over 8.5 (-115)
My Athletics vs Blue Jays best bet is over 8.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Athletics vs Blue Jays Odds
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -142 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | +144 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +118 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -172 |
- Athletics vs Blue Jays spread: Athletics +1.5 (-142), Blue Jays -1.5 (+118)
- Athletics vs Blue Jays over/under: 8.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Athletics vs Blue Jays moneyline: Athletics +144, Blue Jays -172
Athletics vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Luis Severino (ATH) | 2025 Stats | RHP Kevin Gausman (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-11 | W-L | 10-11 |
| 2.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 4.1 |
| 4.54 / 4.59 | ERA / xERA | 3.59 / 3.73 |
| 4.11 / 4.63 | FIP / xFIP | 3.41 / 3.77 |
| 1.30 | WHIP | 1.06 |
| 10.5 | K-BB% | 17.9 |
| 41.2 | GB% | 36.7 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 101 | Location+ | 102 |
Athletics vs Blue Jays Preview
Toronto was the number one offense in MLB in the second half of last season with 123 wRC+. The Athletics were eighth, with 110 wRC+ through that period.
The A's should remain one of the best offenses in baseball this year. The problem is their pitching is going to be awful.
I saw a bold prediction that claimed the A's would lead baseball in runs, but still not make the playoffs this season, which I thought was really funny, but also could absolutely come true.
Luis Severino projects as a below-average starter. His weighted FIP is around a 4.6. The A's don't have a single bullpen arm that projects below a 4.1 weighted FIP. So every arm is below average.
Plus, Rodgers Centre in particular, has been playing a little bit different, especially last year.
Toronto moved the walls in 2023, but the team has also done a lot of internal renovations to the concourses and the seats. All this stuff that may or may not have impacted ball flight within the ballpark.
Even when the dome was closed, we saw the home run rate explode there last year.
From 2021 to 2024, I believe it had a plus 3% home run factor.
Last year, it was plus 18%, and the amount of homers hit there and late-game homers against good relievers was noticeable.
It's possible it was just random variants, but I think this is a more offensive-friendly park than it was just a few years ago.
Athletics vs Blue Jays Picks
I'm going with the over, even with the dome closed, which should knock down a couple of percentage points because it will be really cold up in Toronto today.
PRO Projections has the over marked with a B- grade, and is becoming a popular choice today.
I'm comfortable with it up to about 9 at -110. I make this total closer to 9.5.
These are two fun offenses to watch, so hopefully we see some runs on the board in Toronto tonight.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-115, FanDuel)
