Angels vs. Blue Jays Pick Today | MLB Odds, Predictions for Sunday, July 30
Michael Owens/Getty Images. Pictured: Angels pitcher Tyler Anderson.
Angels vs. Blue Jays Odds
-110 / -110
|Blue Jays Odds|
-110 / -110
The third and final game of this series gets underway Sunday with the AL East's Toronto Blue Jays hosting the AL West's Los Angeles Angels.
Toronto looks to complete the sweep after winning Friday's game, 4-1, and Saturday's contest. 6-1. Will the Blue Jays take care of business once again, or can the Angels end the series on a high note?
Here's a look at the odds and my Angels vs. Blue Jays betting pick and prediction.
Left-hander Tyler Anderson is slated to take the mound for the Angels and should be a good fade candidate in this matchup. Through 18 appearances on the mound this season, Anderson possesses a 5.23 ERA and 1.55 WHIP.
His underlying metrics suggest that positive regression is unlikely, ranking in the 39th percentile or lower in xERA/xwOBA, xBA and xSLG.
Specifically, we're going to fade Anderson in the strikeout department.
This year, the left-hander ranks in the 20th percentile in K%.
These strikeout woes are likely to continue against the Blue Jays.
Because the loaded AL East is so loaded, the Blue Jays sit in third place in the division despite their 59-46 record.
Hitting has been crucial to their success this season. They rank in the top third of the league in hits per game, BA, SLG and OPS.
Toronto is also good at avoiding the strikeout. When facing left-handed pitching this year, the Blue Jays rank fourth in the league in K%.
Looking at Sunday's projected starting lineup, six of the nine hitters possess a K% south of 19% this season.
This avoidance of the punchout is likely to continue in this matchup against Anderson.
Angels vs. Blue Jays Betting Pick
In 77 career plate appearances against Anderson, this Toronto lineup possesses a mere 20.8 K% and 21.9 Whiff%.
In his first start against the Blue Jays this season, Anderson surrendered five runs on seven hits through 4.2 innings pitched. He recorded only four strikeouts in that contest, and a similar performance is likely in store on Sunday.
Anderson is typically on a short leash due to his poor outings, and considering how loaded Toronto's lineup is, it would not be shocking if he got pulled early.