The Tampa Bay Rays host the Arizona Diamondbacks on June 28, 2026. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ARID.
The Rays are favored by -190 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Diamondbacks are +160 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Diamondbacks vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Diamondbacks vs Rays Prediction
Diamondbacks vs Rays Picks:
- Rays F5 ML
- Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits
Diamondbacks vs Rays Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -140 | 7.5 -122o / -100u | +160 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +116 | 7.5 -122o / -100u | -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Probable Pitchers
| Merrill Kelly (RHP, ARI) | Stat | Drew Rasmussen (RHP, TBR) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | W-L | 6-4 |
| -0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.4 |
| 5.71 / 7.24 | ERA / xERA | 2.62 / 3.09 |
| 5.83 / 5.37 | FIP / xFIP | 2.99 / 2.90 |
| 3.9% | K-BB% | 22.3% |
| 37.6% | GB% | 48.6% |
| .284 | BABIP | .240 |
| 88 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 101 | Location+ | 110 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays MLB Betting Preview
The Rays and Diamondbacks will square off on Sunday afternoon in the last of a three-game set at Tropicana Field. Drew Rasmussen will start for Tampa, while Merrill Kelly will start for the Snakes.
Rasmussen looks good! Across 88 frames, he’s recorded a 2.62 ERA, ranking seventh among qualified starting pitchers. He also ranks third in WHIP, with a 0.88 mark.
The same can’t be said of Kelly, who is in the midst of a major slump. He’s running a 5.71 ERA across his first 13 starts this season.
Diamondbacks vs Rays Pick, Betting Analysis
Given Tampa’s home-field advantage and starting-pitching advantage, I favor backing Tampa on the F5 ML.
I’m also looking to back Junior Caminero.
I’m mostly looking to take advantage of two players heading in opposite directions. While Kelly is struggling, Caminero is heating up, hitting three homers in Thursday’s game against the Royals.
Remember, this guy hit 45 homers just last year, and I think he puts together a massive, multi-hit day on Sunday.
Picks:
- Rays F5 ML
- Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits
