All eyes will be on the epic Clayton Kershaw vs. Max Scherzer showdown tonight, but sharp bettors have their sights set on several other under-the-radar matchups. As always, they’re picking their spots, limiting their plays and getting down only on games that check off all the sharp boxes: percentages, line movement, bet signals, weather, officials and historical data.

 

After analyzing Friday’s 16-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including two games that start at 7:05 and another at 7:35 p.m. ET.

All data as of 2:30 p.m. ET

Pittsburgh Pirates – Philadelphia Phillies Under 8 

7:05 p.m. ET

Public bettors see Ivan Nova (4.88 ERA) and Ben Lively (5.87 ERA) on the mound and automatically hit the “Over” button. Not the sharps. Despite 71% of bets going Over, the total has fallen from 8.5 to 8. This reverse line movement was caused by a trio of bet signals at Pinnacle, arguably the sharpest offshore sportsbook. The big dogs at Pinny steamed the Under 8.5 and came back for more on the Under 8. Two added bonuses for sharp Under bettors: the wind is blowing in, and the Under matches the profitable Bet Labs system: Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams.

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Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Follow Josh Appelbaum on Twitter
@Josh_Insights