The San Francisco Giants host the A's on Wednesday, June 24. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-BA and MLB.TV.
The A's enter as favorites of -116 on the moneyline and are -1.5 (+146) on the run line. The Giants, meanwhile, are -102 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-178) on the run line. The over/under sits at 8 total runs.
Find my MLB picks and A's vs Giants prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
A's vs Giants Prediction
- A's vs Giants Pick: Giants ML (-102 · Play to -110)
My Giants vs A's best bet is on San Francisco to win the game outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
A's vs Giants Odds
| A's Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 8 -115o / -105u | -116 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -178 | 8 -115o / -105u | -102 |
- A's vs Giants Moneyline: A's -116, Giants -102
- A's vs Giants Over/Under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- A's vs Giants Run Line: A's -1.5 (+146), Giants +1.5 (-178)
A's vs Giants MLB Betting Preview
A's Betting Preview
It's not very easy to enter the league as a 23-year-old and have immediate success, but nobody told that to Gage Jump.
The lefty owns a 2.37 ERA through five starts at this level, averaging around six innings per turn. The best part is he has done it without striking many out.
Now, Jump will likely build up his strikeout numbers given his incredibly high chase rate and solid strikeout numbers in the minors, but as we frequently talk about, it's very difficult to rack up punchouts as a first, second or even third-year arm.
It often takes a lot of time to translate to the bigs, and in the meantime, you'll see these types of power pitchers struggle to perform at a high level.
Jump has been good so far. His hard-hit rate is microscopic at 29.6%, he's evenly distributing grounders and fly balls, and the expected stats are very kind to him.
Even if you want to poke holes in the small sample, considering he's drawn the Angels, Rockies and Mariners, he also shut down the Cubs and Astros with relative ease.
There's an abundance of time before we can get a confident sample size, but the early returns look good.
After all, Jump was a highly-touted prospect who shoved last year in Double-A. While the numbers in Triple-A weren't stellar, oftentimes the Double-A results matter more.
Whatever the case, we can expect plenty of fastballs and plenty of swings out of the zone given his 93rd-percentile 36.1% chase rate. That also leads to the weak contact; it's all baked in together.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
It hasn't been the best year for Tyler Mahle, a pitcher who basically needs the perfect setting to achieve success. His defense sits in the bottom 10 of the league in Outs Above Average, and his road ERA comes in at an abysmal 8.88.
When the matchup is right and he's at home, where the threat of the homer isn't as large, he can win ballgames.
Mahle has recorded a 3.90 ERA in six starts in San Francisco, registering a 1.27 WHIP. He has also averaged less than one home run per start — which is positive for him.
All in all, Mahle's profile looks perfectly average. His strikeout rate is slightly better than the league norm at 22.9%, and while his 9.6% walk rate isn't good, it's not cataclysmic.
He has relied on a heavy dose of contact, mainly on the ground, so given that context, you'd also have to say a .246 Expected Batting Average isn't all that bad, either.
The issue, as we alluded to, is that his defense is giving him nothing — and he's allowing almost a homer per start.
He's fortunately facing an A's team that's just 24th in OPS against ground-ballers, however, and also draws them in the midst of a small cold streak at the plate.
A's vs Giants Pick, Betting Analysis
On the surface, this looks like a massive mismatch. Jump has been excellent, and Mahle has been throwing batting practice.
But when you put Mahle inside the friendly confines of Oracle Park, he's a much different pitcher. And when you operate low in the zone as a ground-baller, you kill a lot of the power that makes the A's a formidable offense.
The Giants may continue to make headlines for all the wrong reasons, but they're still 10th in wRC+ over the last two weeks with a solid .195 Isolated Power and a low 8.6% walk rate.
They also have a huge discrepancy in their numbers against ground-ballers and fly-ballers, which makes sense given their grounder-heavy approach.
But with a fly-ball rate four points higher than average, San Fran should be in a good spot with an aerially-inclined Jump pitching.
With the Giants ranking a respectable 15th in wRC+ against lefties, holding an elite OPS against fly-ballers and refusing to strike out, Jump could be in for slight turbulence here.
It's not exactly like Mahle is the best pitcher in the world, either, but it's not like he has been getting torched by the long-ball at home. If he can suppress that power, he'll have success, and that's why we have the Giants at a suspiciously low price.
Pick: Giants ML (-102 · Play to -110)
