The New York Mets host the San Diego Padres on August 18, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SDPA.
The Padres are favored by -112 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +104 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Padres vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Padres vs Mets Prediction
- Padres vs Mets Pick: Francisco Lindor Home Run (+374)
My Padres vs Mets best bet is on Francisco Lindor to hit a homer. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Padres vs Mets Odds
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +143 | 8.5 -112o / -108u | -112 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -174 | 8.5 -112o / -108u | +104 |
- Padres vs Mets moneyline: Padres -112, Mets +104
- Padres vs Mets over/under: 8.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Padres vs Mets spread: Padres -1.5 (+143), Mets +1.5 (-174)
Padres vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Robbie Ray (LHP, SDP) | Stat | Zac Thornton (LHP, NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | W-L | 3-3 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 3.28/4.57 | ERA / xERA | 2.78/4.83 |
| 4.55/4.82 | FIP / xFIP | 3.88/4.34 |
| 8.7% | K-BB% | 9.0% |
| 34.4% | GB% | 40.9% |
| .260 | BABIP | .254 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 91 | Location+ | 93 |
Padres vs Mets MLB Betting Preview, Pick
This is a good spot for Franciso Lindor, and these odds are a bit too high.
Robbie Ray has allowed an above-average 1.47 RH/9 this season to righties despite playing in one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks in the league for most the season.
Lindor has been up and down this season with injuries, but he's seeing the ball well right now and still has plenty of pop.
I have the true odds here around +350, making this a good bet.
Pick: Francisco Lindor Home Run (+374)
