The Texas Rangers (16-14) battle the Athletics (15-15) on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET; the game can be streamed via MLB.TV.
Veteran right-handers square off in this AL West clash on Wednesday night as Luis Severino takes on Nathan Eovaldi.
Continue reading below for Athletics vs Rangers prediction for Wednesday.
A's vs Rangers Prediction, Picks
- Athletics vs Rangers pick:Under 8.5 (-105) | Play to -120
My Athletics vs Rangers best bet is the game total to go under 8.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
A's vs Rangers Odds, Spread, Total, Best Bet
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +135 |
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -160 |
- Athletics vs Rangers Moneyline: A's +135, Rangers -160
- Athletics vs Rangers Total: 8.5 (-110/-110)
- Athletics vs Rangers Spread: A's +1.5 (-160), Rangers -1.5 (+135)
- Athletics vs Rangers Best Bet: Under 8.5
Athletics vs Rangers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Luis Severino (ATH) | Stat | RHP Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 3.49/4.08 | ERA /xERA | 2.21/4.08 |
| 3.93/4.08 | FIP / xFIP | 2.64/2.62 |
| 1.09 | WHIP | 0.74 |
| 2.42% | K-BB% | 12.67% |
| 39.7% | GB% | 50.5% |
| 110 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 95 | Location+ | 105 |
A's vs Rangers Preview, Prediction
Athletics Betting Preview
Luis Severino has been a different kind of pitcher with the Athletics in 2025, shifting to more of a fly-ball pitcher after years of rolling up grounders to moderate success.
He hasn't been the strikeout pitcher we knew from a few years ago after getting older and enduring some injuries, but he's at least been able to keep the ball in the park and eat innings as a mid-to-back-end starter.
This season has appeared no different on the surface with Severino rocking a respectable 4.08 xERA next to his actual 3.49 ERA, but pitching to fly balls in the hitter's paradise he calls home isn't the greatest idea.
His Expected Batting Average (xBA) is up over .270, his Expected Slugging (xSLG) is at .424, and those are two areas where Severino saw significant gains a year ago with the Mets. Neither is really all that close to the league average, and now he'll step to the mound in a similarly friendly park for home runs.
The good news is the Athletics rake.
They're seventh in wRC+ entering Wednesday with a solid .170 Isolated Power (ISO) and they've clubbed 39 homers to rank among the best in baseball.
Now, they've got known baseball destroyer Nick Kurtz in their lineup — just in time to turn around a miniature slump at the dish.
Rangers Betting Preview
Speaking of turning things around, the Rangers are hitting .265 over the last week, which has been a relief given this offense has been one of the worst in baseball all year.
That's where the good news ends, however, because there's really nothing different about this team at the plate.
They're striking out at an even higher rate over that span at 24.2%, they're still rarely walking, and the gains in terms of hits have been driven by a .341 BABIP. I'm not seeing any reasons to believe in this offense.
I am, however, seeing reasons to like Nathan Eovaldi.
Sure, his 4.08 xERA would seem to say his 2.21 ERA is a fluke — but that's only if you lack logic or the will to read deeper into his season. The righty is a ground-ball pitcher, and his infield defense remains one of the best in baseball — ranking ninth in Outs Above Average (OAA). His outfield ranks seventh.
Many would call a player "lucky" in this scenario, and that's where you lose money.
Guys like Eovaldi have the ability to maintain this "luck" all season because their defenses are constantly stealing away expected hits, and it's a fool's errand to keep fading them.
Is he going to pitch to a 2.21 ERA all year long? Probably not.
Eovaldi is still striking out 27.1% of the batters he sees and walking just 2.1%. There's a lot of sustainability here.
Athletics vs Rangers Prediction, Betting Analysis
Against my great feelings about this Athletics offense, I'm going to have to back Eovaldi on principle.
The Athletics have cooled slightly with a .130 ISO and high 23% strikeout rate in the last week, and with the righty racking up Ks and leaning on his defense he should have a path to a quality outing.
That doesn't mean I want anything to do with the Rangers, however, who have been incredibly lucky at the dish in the last week and will hit some hard regression very soon.
Severino isn't doing the best job, but he should be good enough to record outs against a team which lacks power and has been swinging at everything.
The Rangers' starter isn't lucky — the Rangers' offense is. Take the Under.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-105)
Moneyline
I have no play on Wednesday's A's-Rangers moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I'm also passing on the run line for this game.
Over/Under
My best bet for A's-Rangers is the game total to go under 8.5.
Pick: Under 8.5
