The San Francisco Giants host the Atlanta Braves on June 26, 2026. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BravesVsn.
The Braves are favored by -120 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Giants are +100 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Braves vs Giants prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Braves vs Giants Prediction
- Braves vs Giants Pick: Over 8.5
My Braves vs Giants best bet is on game totals. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Braves vs Giants Odds
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +139 | 8.5 -105o / -114u | -120 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -168 | 8.5 -105o / -114u | +100 |
- Braves vs Giants moneyline: Braves -120, Giants +100
- Braves vs Giants over/under: 8.5 (-105 / -114)
- Braves vs Giants spread: Braves -1.5, Giants +1.5
Braves vs Giants Polymarket MLB Odds
Braves vs Giants Probable Pitchers
| RHP Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | Stat | TBD |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | W-L | – |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | – |
| 3.50 / 4.64 | ERA / xERA | – |
| 4.62 / 4.65 | FIP / xFIP | – |
| 9.5% | K-BB% | – |
| 36.5% | GB% | – |
| .270 | BABIP | – |
| 90 | Stuff+ | – |
| 97 | Location+ | – |
Braves vs Giants MLB Betting Preview
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Braves are in a funk, dropping seven of their last nine contests, and now they'll turn to Reynaldo Lopez as they begin a new series in San Francisco. The righty has been pretty serviceable out of the bullpen this year after working as a starter during his excellent 2024 campaign, turning in a 3.50 ERA across 43 2/3 innings.
It's somewhat of a desperate move for Atlanta, which hasn't tabbed Lopez to start since April 21. Spencer Strider's newest injury has left a hole in the rotation, and Hurston Waldrep isn't quite finished with his rehab down in Triple-A. At any rate, having Lopez start will leave the Braves without their long man, and considering he threw 58 pitches last time out, they may need one.
Lopez may reasonably be expected to complete five innings, but that's probably the rosiest outlook. An off day on Thursday will at least provide a taxed bullpen with some extra rest.
At any rate, this game is going to hinge on just how well Lopez can pitch, given the uncertainty behind him and the time between his starts. He's failed to strike many out this season, running a low 20.6% punchout rate, and his walk rate is a poor 11.1%. It's not unheard of for relievers to run a high walk rate, but it normally comes along with strikeouts. Furthermore, fly-ball pitchers like Lopez generally tend to operate as more three-true-outcome guys, but the righty has made his way through the season by inducing weak contact in the air.
The key for Lopez will be keeping the walks down, considering the park factor should help him successfully pitch to more flyouts. With that said, the Giants are the top team in the league against fly-ball pitchers.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
Speaking of the Giants and their affinity for fly-ball pitchers, let's talk about the offense on the other side for a second. San Francisco has one of the largest discrepancies you'll see, running a top-ranked .820 OPS versus fly-ball pitchers and a .624 against ground-ballers, which is the fifth-worst mark in the league.
This is a team that is going to swing the bat. They have just a 6.4% walk rate this year and have struck out less than 21% of the time, which has led to a pretty muted .163 Isolated Power and a contact-first approach. With that said, San Fran has traded in some hits for extra bases recently, registering a .181 ISO in the last two weeks and hitting 24 points below their season batting average.
As for the starter, well, we don't know who that's going to be yet. It's Trevor McDonald's turn in the rotation, so assuming he is healthy, he is going to pitch some innings here. The rookie right-hander has had an up-and-down season with a 4.93 ERA in nine starts, and there's not one thing he's really done well or done poorly.
His walk rate is pretty average at 8.8%, and his 20.5% strikeout rate is mediocre. He's been primarily geared towards ground balls, ranking in the top 5% of the league there, and that's at least limited his opponents to just four home runs.
McDonald, like many ground-ballers, has a somewhat high .253 xBA, 10 points above the league average, but he's recorded a great .373 Expected Slugging. It's still led him to a 4.49 xERA, and it seems things are just getting worse for him. After a fine 4.34 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in May, he's turned in a 5.94 and 1.80 this month. Walks are becoming a problem, and he struck out just one batter in his last start, failing to complete four innings.
Braves vs Giants Pick, Betting Analysis
The Giants love to hit fly-ballers, and the Braves like hitting ground-ballers. They're just outside the top 10 in that split with a .700 OPS, and that's the hope that they're going to need to cling to here. Atlanta is dead last with a 64 wRC+ in the last two weeks, and worst of all, Drake Baldwin has looked awful since coming back off the injured list.
Baldwin got Wednesday off, and then the team traveled on Thursday, so perhaps the team's most pivotal offensive weapon will finally wake up from his slumber on Friday. It'll certainly help that McDonald offers little in the strikeout department, considering that's been the problem for Baldwin lately, and that's also been an issue for the Braves in general, with a gaudy 26.1% strikeout rate in the last 14 days.
This should help turn Atlanta into a bit more of a weapon at the dish, and on the other side of the coin, I'd feel pretty good about San Francisco in a matchup with Lopez, who's making his first start in two months. The Giants will be swinging, and good things will be happening.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-105) | Play to -112
