The Minnesota Twins host the Baltimore Orioles on May 7, 2025. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MASN.
Read my Orioles vs Twins predictions and MLB player prop picks below.
- Orioles vs Twins Pick: Royce Lewis Home Run (+600, BetMGM)
My Orioles vs Twins best bet is on Royce Lewis to go yard. Check our live MLB odds page to find the best odds.
Orioles vs Twins Game Information and Odds
Orioles Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 9 -110o / -110u | +115 |
Twins Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 9 -110o / -110u | -135 |
Orioles vs Twins Betting Insights
The first bet I made this Wednesday morning was on Royce Lewis to homer in the Orioles vs. Twins game.
The best price on this prop is +600, which makes no sense.
He was around +500 to go yard on Tuesday, but Wednesday should be a more favorable situation for the righty slugger.
Our PRO Models project Lewis to hit a home run 23% of the time, translating to around +335 fair odds and providing a 6% edge.
Lewis just returned from injury, and he’s slotting in as the DH for now, meaning his sole responsibility is to spank the ball. He failed to do that last night with zero hits but put four balls in play.
Baltimore starting pitcher Charlie Morton has developed a serious home run problem this season, allowing seven in 27 ⅔ innings of work en route to a 9.76 ERA. He’s allowing too many hard-hit fly balls, which should play right into Lewis’ hands.
The Twins' home park ranks eighth in Statcast’s Home Run Factor, so we’ve got that added boost to this 6-to-1 wager.
Twins Player Insights and Team Prop: Royce Lewis Home Run (+600, BetMGM)