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The Washington Nationals host the New York Mets on September 27, 2026. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -115 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are -105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
- Mets vs Nationals Pick: Francisco Lindor over 1.5 HRR, Over 8.5
My Mets vs Nationals best bet is for Francisco Lindor to hit over 1.5 HRR and for the game to go over 8.5 runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Mets vs Nationals Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -176 | 8.5 +100o / -120u | -115 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +145 | 8.5 +100o / -120u | -105 |
- Mets vs Nationals moneyline: Mets -115, Nationals -105
- Mets vs Nationals over/under: 8.5 (+100o / -120u)
- Mets vs Nationals spread: Mets -1.5 (+145), Nationals +1.5 (-176)
Mets vs Nationals Probable Pitchers
| Sean Manaea (LHP, NYM) | Stat | DJ Herz (LHP, WSH) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | W-L | 0-1 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 4.67 / 4.81 | ERA / xERA | 9.00 / 8.38 |
| 4.44 / 4.19 | FIP / xFIP | 5.85 / 5.24 |
| 15.6% | K-BB% | 10.5% |
| 38.8% | GB% | 23.1% |
| .302 | BABIP | .333 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 98 | Location+ | 94 |
Mets vs Nationals MLB Betting Preview
Mets vs Nationals Pick, Betting Analysis
The Mets and Nationals will duke it out Sunday afternoon, each looking to end the season on a positive note, after both teams failed to make the Postseason.
Lefty Sean Manaea will take the mound for New York while fellow southpaw DJ Herz will get his second start this season for the Nationals.
Manaea has recorded a very mediocre 4.67 ERA across his 144.2 innings pitched. Herz, on the other hand, is looking to bounce back after an abysmal season debut, where he let up nine runs in four innings against the Tigers.
Given Herz’ struggles, I'm targeting a Mets player prop as one of my primary angles.
In six previous at-bats against Herz, Mets’ SS Francisco Lindor has recorded three hits — including a double and a home run.
Herz relies heavily on a high-whiff four-seam fastball and a strong changeup, but has been particularly vulnerable against right-handed bats with elite splits against lefties.
According to BARTOLO, Herz has an insanely high 8.38 xERA along with an inflated 2.25 HR/9, both of which draw concern versus a scrappy right-handed bat like Lindor.
Picks:
- Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 HRR
- Over 8.5
