The St. Louis Cardinals host the Milwaukee Brewers on July 6, 2026. First pitch from Busch Stadium is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BREW.
The Brewers are favored by -110 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Cardinals are -109 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Brewers vs Cardinals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction
- Brewers vs Cardinals Pick: Shane Drohan 5+ Strikeouts (+133)
My Brewers vs Cardinals best bet is on Shane Drohan to get at least 5 strikeouts. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Brewers vs Cardinals Odds
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -182 | 8 -113o / -105u | -110 |
| Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +150 | 8 -113o / -105u | -109 |
- Brewers vs Cardinals moneyline: Brewers -110, Cardinals -109
- Brewers vs Cardinals over/under: 8 (-113o / -105u)
- Brewers vs Cardinals spread: Brewers -1.5 (+150), Cardinals +1.5 (-182)
Brewers vs Cardinals Probable Pitchers
| LHP Shane Drohan (MIL) | Stat | RHP Dustin May (STL) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | W-L | 5-6 |
| 1.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.8 |
| 3.12/3.32 | ERA / xERA | 4.80/3.85 |
| 3.18/3.63 | FIP / xFIP | 3.37/3.90 |
| 17.0% | K-BB% | 15.4% |
| 42.6% | GB% | 44.4% |
| .304 | BABIP | .321 |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 104 | Location+ | 102 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Pick, Betting Analysis
I've been watching lefty Shane Drohan closely; the Brewers have a way of developing pitchers out of nowhere, and it might be happening again with this lefty.
Drohan is coming off a 17-whiff night against the Reds. His fastball has been sick this year, with a 16.4% SwStr% and .229 xwOBA allowed. That's a rare combination for a heater, and then he complements it with a 20.2% SwStr% slider that comes with a .218 xwOBA allowed. The guy has something really cooking for him. I'm not sure if it's pitch shape as much as it's deception and command, but it's working.
So Drohan sits here with a 24.5% K% on the year, but that seems like a number that should tick upward given his swinging strike rate. The kicker is that he's walked seven in his last three — but his ball rate (the percentage of pitches thrown that go for balls) isn't bad at all, at 36% over that span.
Pitch counts? A little bit of a worry. Just 78 last time, but that was after getting into a jam and needing help out of an inning. The start before that, he threw 98 pitches and had 91 the prior start. So he's stretched out and able to push toward 100 pitches.
Pick: Shane Drohan 5+ Strikeouts (+133)
