The Baltimore Orioles host the Chicago Cubs on July 7, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MASN.
The Cubs are favored by -118 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are -102 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Cubs vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Cubs vs Orioles Prediction
- Cubs vs Orioles Pick: Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs (+500)
My Cubs vs Orioles best bet is Seiya Suzuki to hit a home run. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Cubs vs Orioles Odds
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -163 | 9.5 -100o / -120u | -118 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +135 | 9.5 -100o / -120u | -102 |
- Cubs vs Orioles moneyline: Cubs -118, Orioles -102
- Cubs vs Orioles over/under: 9.5 (-100o / -120u)
- Cubs vs Orioles spread: Cubs -1.5 (+135), Orioles +1.5 (-163)
Cubs vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| LHP Matthew Boyd (CHC) | Stat | RHP Shane Baz (BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | W-L | 3-8 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.7 |
| 5.08 / 4.73 | ERA / xERA | 4.19 / 4.47 |
| 3.44 / 3.48 | FIP / xFIP | 3.80 / 4.47 |
| 18.6% | K-BB% | 11.1% |
| 41.2% | GB% | 37.0% |
| .355 | BABIP | .304 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 109 | Location+ | 101 |
Cubs vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview
Shane Baz has been good at suppressing power this season, but he's due for some heavy regression and grades out around an average matchup for righty power, which Seiya Suzuki possesses plenty of.
The ballpark is a downgrade for righty power, but the odds here more than make up for it.
I have the true odds around +420, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs (+500)
