The Milwaukee Brewers host the Cleveland Guardians on June 17, 2026. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CLEG.
The Brewers are favored by -120 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Guardians are +102 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Guardians vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Guardians vs Brewers Prediction
- Guardians vs Brewers Picks: Guardians F5 ML (-114) & Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
My Guardians vs Brewers best bets are Guardians moneyline in the first five innings and Jackson Chourio to record over 1.5 total bases. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Guardians vs Brewers Odds
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +176 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +102 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -215 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -120 |
- Guardians vs Brewers moneyline: Guardians +102, Brewers -120
- Guardians vs Brewers over/under: 7.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Guardians vs Brewers spread: Brewers -1.5 (+176), Guardians +1.5 (-215)
Guardians vs Brewers Probable Pitchers
| RHP Gavin Williams (CLE) | Stat | RHP Brandon Sproat (MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 9-3 | W-L | 1-4 |
| 1.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.2 |
| 3.32/4.58 | ERA / xERA | 5.70/5.29 |
| 3.80/3.17 | FIP / xFIP | 5.55/4.53 |
| 20.6% | K-BB% | 10.3% |
| 46.5% | GB% | 44.3% |
| .266 | BABIP | .299 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 103 | Location+ | 95 |
Guardians vs Brewers MLB Betting Preview, Picks
The Brewers will host the Guardians on Wednesday night at American Family Field.
Brandon Sproat will take the mound for the Brew Crew, while Cleveland trots out righty Gavin Williams in what should be a considerable pitching edge over Milwaukee.
While Williams has posted a 3.32 ERA and 1.10 WHIP this season, Sproat has been atrocious in 13 appearances, with a 5.70 ERA over 60 innings.
That said, I will be taking a more unique betting approach by constructing a same-game parlay to extract maximum value.
For the front leg of our SGP, I favor targeting the Guardians on their first-five (F5) moneyline, given their massive starting-pitching advantage.
If you have read any of my previous SGP articles, you would know I typically favor backing two negatively correlated wagers, which in turn generate far more value on the back end given the inverse relationship between the two parlay legs.
Moreover, I'm backing Brewers’ Jackson Chourio to continue his scorching form at the plate since returning from a small hairline fracture that he suffered during a World Baseball Classic exhibition game.
Since returning from the shelf, Chourio has arguably been the best hitter in baseball over the last three weeks.
He is batting .322 and has smashed five homers over the Brewers’ last five games, and has also recorded 16 hits in their last seven.
In 2025, Chourio established himself as one of the most talented and versatile players on the planet and has quickly reverted to his elite form at the plate.
I will be backing Chourio to exceed his 1.5 Total Base mark on Wednesday night in what should be another massive performance at the plate.
Picks: Guardians F5 ML (-114) & Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
