The Boston Red Sox host the Detroit Tigers on April 18, 2026. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on DSN.
The Tigers are favored by -184 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Red Sox are +154 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Tigers vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction
- Tigers vs Red Sox Pick: Under 7 (-105 or Better)
My Tigers vs Red Sox best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Tigers vs Red Sox Odds
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -108 | 7.5 -100o / -122u | -184 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -111 | 7.5 -100o / -122u | +154 |
- Tigers vs Red Sox moneyline: Tigers -171, Red Sox +144
- Tigers vs Red Sox over/under: 7 (-120o / -100u)
- Tigers vs Red Sox spread: Tigers -1.5 (+105), Red Sox +1.5 (-125)
Tigers vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
| Tarik Skubal (LHP) | Stat | Brayan Bello (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 2.22 / 3.87 | ERA / xERA | 6.14 / 5.65 |
| 2.42 / 3.07 | FIP / xFIP | 5.54 / 4.90 |
| 0.95 | WHIP | 1.91 |
| 20.0% | K-BB% | 0.0% |
| 40.9% | GB% | 59.6% |
| 116 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 105 | Location+ | 100 |
Tigers vs Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
Our own Sean Zerillo projects some value on the Under, making the line 6.74 while the consensus total sits between 7 and 7.5.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
Tigers vs Red Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
Zerillo notes in the Action App that he would play this number at either Under 7.5 (-127) or Under 7 (-103).
But I'm willing to push the envelope a bit for two reasons.
First, Tarik Skubal is on the mound for the Tigers, and he should shut down a Red Sox lineup with four important left-handed hitters (Roman Anthony, Wilyer Abreu, Jarren Duran, Marcelo Mayer). Perhaps Alex Cora platoons his lineup a bit, getting Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the mix, but the Sox are still running a 90 wRC+ against Southpaws on the season (17th among MLB lineups).
Second, we're expecting bad weather in Boston. With temperatures in the mid-40s to low-50s and winds blowing in from right-center field, I'm not expecting many long fly balls.
Pick: Under 7 (-105 or Better)
