The Cincinnati Reds host the Detroit Tigers on April 24, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on DSN.
The Tigers are favored by -134 on the moneyline and by +130 on the run line (1-5). The Reds are +115 on the moneyline and -140 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Tigers vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Tigers vs Reds Prediction
- Tigers vs Reds Pick: Tigers Moneyline, Spencer Torkelson home run, and Kevin McGonigle over 0.5 runs
My Tigers vs Reds best bet is on several Tigers plays. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Tigers vs Reds Odds
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +130 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -130 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -156 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +110 |
- Tigers vs Reds moneyline: Tigers -130, Reds +110
- Tigers vs Reds over/under: 8.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Tigers vs Reds spread: Tigers -1.5 (+130), Reds +1.5 (+110)
Tigers vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| Framber Valdez, DET | Stat | Andrew Abbott, CIN |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | W-L | 0-2 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 3.30 / 3.28 | ERA / xERA | 5.84 / 4.90 |
| 3.25 / 4.12 | FIP / xFIP | 4.32 / 4.80 |
| 8.7% | K-BB% | 3.5% |
| 53.6% | GB% | 47.1% |
| .271 | BABIP | .349 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 100 | Location+ | 96 |
Tigers vs Reds MLB Betting Preview
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview: Runs Are Coming
We've got two pitchers in this one who haven't had the best starts to the year so far. We'll take a look at Framber Valdez first. He's allowed 11 earned runs thus far in 30 innings with just 20 strikeouts (15.7% K%). He still has his sick curveball working, but the sinker has not been good so far this year, with a .316 xwOBA allowed and just a 4.9% SwStr%.
He's allowed way too much contact. The good news is that you still can't get the guy out of the ballyard. He's yet to give up a homer, and it's a 55% GB% with just a 4.1% Brl% allowed. But it's an interesting spot here in one of the most homer-friendly ballparks in the league.
The Tigers are lined up against Andrew Abbott, who's been a disaster this year. He threw six scoreless on Opening Day, and since then, he's given up at least two earned runs in each start, and his ERA has ballooned up to 5.84. The K% is down to 13%, and the walk rate of 9.6% doesn't help a ton either.
He's walked more right-handed batters than he's struck out. I repeat, he's walked more righties than he's struck out. The fastball has been garbage (2.8% SwStr%, .369 xwOBA against), and he throws it 51% of the time against right-handed sticks.
Target: Tigers scoring and right-handed batters getting on base
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview: Big Pitching Disadvantage
So we know we don't like Abbott in this one. Of course, it's probable that he gets right and at least halfway back to where he was last year. He was never as good as he showed in 2025, but he's also not this bad. I'm not jumping out of my shorts to bet on over 1.5 Tigers homers or -1.5 on the moneyline or anything like that.
But we should always be looking for some dinger bets against Abbott in Cincy. Spencer Torkelsonis of particular interest to me. He's homered in two straight now after a slow (and unlucky) start. There aren't too many spots better for Torkelson than this one. The guy knows how to pull a ball in the air; he was in the top five in the league in that regard last year. And Abbott is a very easy pitcher to take to the air.
I do absolutely prefer Valdez over Abbott, and it's not close. You want ground balls in Cincy and Valdez does that with the best of them; Abbott does that with the least of them.
Big advantage Tigers here.
Tigers vs Reds Pick, Betting Analysis
I don't like giving out homer picks in these posts; I think that's pretty lazy. But Torkelsonis tempting me. He's +440 on FanDuel, which is the best price I'm seeing right now.
I'm also seeing that Elly De La Cruz, the Reds' best hitter, struggles with left-handed curveballs and sinkers. Going back to last year, he's hitting .245/.275/.449 against those pitch types, notably with a 39% K%. You could take him for 1+ strikeout in a parlay, or bet under 1.5 Total Bases (-130 on UnderDog).
Looking at my projection model, I have three props that I would price significantly lower than the books are, making them good bets for us tonight:
- Kevin McGonigle over 0.5 runs scored (+115 on BetMGM)
- Kevin McGonigle under 0.5 strikeouts (+100 on BetMGM)
- Andrew Abbott under 4.5 strikeouts (+114 on DraftKings)
My model gives a price for every prop and compares it with what you can get on the books to find advantages. Check that out at MLB Data Warehouse if you're interested.
Picks:
- Tigers Moneyline
- Spencer Torkelson Over 0.5 Home Runs
- Kevin McGonigle Over 0.5 Runs Scored
