Giants vs. Angels Odds & Pick (Monday, Aug. 17): The Price is Right, But Can SF Be Trusted?
Matthew Stockman/Getty Images. Pictured: Tyler Anderson.
- The San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Angels face off on Monday night at 9:40 p.m. ET for an interleague MLB matchup.
- The Giants report a 8-15 record to open the season, while the Angels sit at 7-15. Despite the similarity in their records, Michael Arinze believes the Angels deserved to open as -170 favorites.
- Check out Arinze's full betting preview below for odds, picks, and comprehensive analysis, including why he's leaning to San Francisco at +150 or better.
Giants vs. Angels Betting Odds
|Giants Odds||+150 [BET NOW]|
|Angels Odds||-180 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||10 (-110/-110) [BET NOW]|
|First Pitch||9:40 p.m. ET|
The San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Angels are both winless in their last four games. Both teams were swept in interleague play by their rivals, with the Giants losing to the A’s and the Dodgers beating the Angels.
The Giants are likely still shell-shocked after they gave up 15 runs to the A’s in the series finale, while the Angels failed to hold on to an early 1-0 lead as the Dodgers responded with seven runs of their own.
One thing we can say with certainty is that one of these two teams will snap their four-game losing streak tonight.
However, given both teams’ inconsistencies thus far this season, settling on one of them could prove to be a difficult task.
Los Angeles Angels
Griffin Canning will get the start tonight for the Angels as they try to halt their four-game skid. Canning is 0-3 in four starts with a 4.42 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. Much like the Giants pitchers, he too struggled against the A’s, who he faced in his last start. Canning gave up six hits in four innings with three of those hits leaving the park. With Oakland seemingly doing maximum damage every time they made contact, the Angels coaching staff wondered if he was tipping his pitches. Canning’s only made 21 major league starts, so the A’s would’ve had to have seen something on video. I have my doubts as to whether that could be the case given Canning’s limited appearances.
What we can say is that Canning has struggled with his control this season. His 4.91 walks per nine innings are a major concern, and his 5.65 FIP suggests it could get worse before it gets better.
This will be the first time any Giants hitter steps in the batter’s box against Canning. It will be interesting if that lends him an advantage as he tries to make his way through the Giants lineup.
San Francisco Giants
Canning will be opposed by Giants left-hander Tyler Anderson. Anderson is 0-1 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP.
Like Canning, Anderson has been wasteful, allowing 5.71 walks per nine innings. There could be plenty of traffic on the basepaths tonight with the Angels having the fifth-highest walk rate in the majors. That likely won’t do much to lower Anderson’s 6.25 FIP and sooner than later his luck factor could start to run out.
Anderson has been nimble in wiggling out of trouble, which is evident by the 87% of runners he’s left on base. That likely isn’t going to last considering his career average for runners left on base is around 71.4%.
Betting Analysis and Pick
I’ve gone back and looked at both teams’ season-long numbers and I can’t tell you that either side has made any significant improvement since the restart.
The Angels opened at around a -170 favorite, and while that number may seem a bit high considering the Giants have won just one more game (8-15) than the Angels, I think it’s about right.
My model made the Angels a -169 favorite so I’m right in line with the market there. A significant edge is being given to the Angels because they’re creating almost an additional half-run per game than the Giants. With that said, this game can go in either direction given both pitchers propensity to walk guys on base.
Interestingly enough, historically when two teams with similar winning percentages play, the Giants actually come out ahead more than 50% of the time. There’s no doubt the value is clearly on San Francisco, and if I had to pick between the two teams that’s where I’d put my money.
The Giants have already been bet down from around +157 to +150 at PointsBet. While that price seems reasonable, I’m just not sure if I can fully trust this Giants team just yet.
The Pick: Lean Giants at +150