The New York Mets host the Kansas City Royals on July 7, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -153 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Royals are +125 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Royals vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Royals vs Mets Prediction
- Royals vs Mets Pick: Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs
My Royals vs Mets best bet is on Juan Soto to score a homer. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Royals vs Mets Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -167 | 8.5 -109o / -112u | +125 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +139 | 8.5 -109o / -112u | -153 |
- Royals vs Mets moneyline: Royals +125, Mets -153
- Royals vs Mets over/under: 8.5 (-109o / -112u)
- Royals vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+139 ), Royals +1.5 (-167)
Royals vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| RHP Seth Lugo (KCR) | Stat | TBD |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | W-L | – |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | – |
| 4.20 / 5.34 | ERA / xERA | – |
| 4.15 / 4.44 | FIP / xFIP | – |
| 11.3% | K-BB% | – |
| 37.8% | GB% | – |
| .317 | BABIP | – |
| 89 | Stuff+ | – |
| 106 | Location+ | – |
Royals vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
Kansas City comes into this matchup with a 37-54 record and are 16-28 on the road. They'll send Seth Lugo to the mound as he faces his former team for the first time in his career after spending seven seasons with the Mets, where he posted a 3.48 ERA across 275 appearances from 2016 to 2022.
Lugo has plenty of familiarity with New York, making this one of the more intriguing pitching matchups on the schedule. The veteran right-hander will look to help Kansas City build some momentum away from home.
The Mets are 38-53 on the season and 19-24 at home. They'll try to take advantage of home field as they look to improve in front of their fans.
One player to watch is Juan Soto, who has enjoyed success against Kansas City. The star outfielder homered twice the last time he faced the Royals in a three-game series and will look to stay hot in this matchup.
Royals vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
Lugo has been much better this season at suppressing lefty power after being the best matchup in the league last season, but he still grades out as a big plus matchup for lefty power.
The weather is a bit of a downgrade, but Soto is one of the best power hitters in the league and I have the true odds around +320 today, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs
