The Atlanta Braves host the Miami Marlins on August 9, 2025. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 1:15 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSSO.
Find my MLB betting preview and Marlins vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Marlins vs Braves Prediction
- Marlins vs Braves pick: Over 9 (-110)
My Marlins vs Braves best bet is Over 9 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Braves Odds, Spread, Best Bet
| Miami Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +144 | 9 -102o / -119u | -110 |
| Atlanta Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -176 | 9 -102o / -119u | -111 |
Marlins vs Braves Run Line: Marlins -1.5 (+144); Braves +1.5 (-176)
Marlins vs Braves Totals: 9 (O -102 / U -119)
Marlins vs Braves Moneyline: Marlins -110; Braves -111
Marlins vs Braves Best Bet: Under 9 Total Runs
Marlins vs Braves Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Ryan Gusto (MIA) | Stat | RHP Hurston Waldrep (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 1.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 4.92 / 4.29 | ERA /xERA | 1.59 / 4.18 |
| 4.13 / 4.30 | FIP / xFIP | 2.76 / 4.62 |
| 1.43 | WHIP | 0.88 |
| 15.6% | K-BB% | 9.1% |
| 36% | GB% | 37.5% |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 100 | Location+ | 104 |
Tony Sartori’s Marlins vs Braves Preview
Miami Marlins Betting Preview: Offense On a Roll
Miami acquired right-hander Ryan Gusto from the Houston Astros at the trade deadline. However, the amount of help he can provide is likely minimal.
Through 24 appearances on the mound, the rookie hurler has a 4.92 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. His underlying metrics are equally poor, as Gusto ranks in the bottom third of the league in expected ERA (xERA), average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
Following Gusto is a fade-worthy bullpen. This season, the Marlins’ relief corps ranks in the bottom half of the league in ERA, FIP, expected FIP (xFIP) and WAR.
The good news for this pitching staff is that it should receive plenty of run support. Entering this matchup, Miami ranks in the top half of the league in hits per game, batting average, OPS and stolen bases.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview: Bullpen Issues Continue
Atlanta’s lineup does not trail far behind the Marlins’. The Braves will likely need to produce runs, given that Hurston Waldrep is set to take the mound.
Waldrep got away with what should have been a difficult first outing this season. Despite the strong start, he posted a 4.18 xERA and .269 expected batting average (xBA).
If he qualified, he would rank near the bottom of the league in average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. The Marlins should have no issue translating hard-hit balls into runs.
Like Miami, Atlanta’s bullpen could also be an issue. This season, the Braves’ relief corps ranks in the bottom half of the league in ERA and WAR.
Marlins vs Braves Prediction, Betting Analysis
Waldrep’s analytics from his first outing indicate that regression is likely. Meanwhile, Gusto has shown nothing this year to suggest he is worth backing.
That leaves the hitting, and both lineups are capable of producing runs. Entering this matchup, both teams average more than four runs per game.
Pick: Over 9 (-110, BetMGM)
Moneyline
I lean toward Miami, but I don't trust Gusto.
Run Line (Spread)
I also like Miami to cover, but I'm staying away for the same reason listed above.
Over/Under
As mentioned, I'm betting Over 9.5.
