The Minnesota Twins host the Miami Marlins on May 13, 2026. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Marlins are favored by -124 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Twins are +106 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Twins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Twins Prediction
Marlins vs Twins Picks:
- Marlins Score First (-170, DraftKings)
- Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 HRR (-145, FanDuel)
Marlins vs Twins Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 8 -110o / -110u | -112 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -176 | 8 -110o / -110u | -104 |
Marlins vs Twins Probable Pitchers
| Max Meyer (RHP, MIA) | Stat | Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP, MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | W-L | 0-5 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.3 |
| 2.79 / 4.03 | ERA / xERA | 6.92 / 5.75 |
| 2.88 / 3.60 | FIP / xFIP | 6.20 / 5.76 |
| 17.0% | K-BB% | 1.7% |
| 42.0% | GB% | 36.7% |
| .261 | BABIP | .321 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 87 |
| 110 | Location+ | 97 |
Marlins vs Twins MLB Betting Preview
25-year-old right-handed pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson will take the mound for the Twins, while Miami right-handed pitcher Max Meyer will be on the bump for the Marlins.
This contest features two teams that have struggled mightily over the first six weeks of the season, as both clubs enter this matchup with losing records. Both are in dire need of a winning streak.
Despite the Twins entering this game with a two-game win streak and playing in the comfort of their own ballpark, I am very worried about Woods Richardson, given his lackluster start to the season. Across his first eight outings, the Twins’ righty has recorded a dreadful 6.92 ERA and a 1.72 WHIP.
Meanwhile, Meyer is trending in the opposite direction, having posted a 2.79 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.
Marlins vs Twins Pick, Betting Analysis
I’m going with a weird betting angle and taking the Marlins to score the first run in this game.
Aside from the fact that Miami is playing on the road and thus batting first, I think the Fish have a huge pitching advantage.
At the same time, I think Kyle Stowers should have a big night.
Woods Richardson struggles against Southpaws, and Stowers has already knocked an extra-base hit against Minnesota’s righty.
Picks:
- Marlins Score First (-170, DraftKings)
- Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 HRR (-145, FanDuel)
