MLB Tuesday starts early. We're profiling the top home run options across today's huge slate.
When it comes to identifying the best home run bets for today's MLB card, our proprietary PRO Projections provide valuable insights. These daily home run projections combine expert analysis with market odds to uncover betting edges.
And Tuesday's best MLB bets feature a mix of undervalued picks.
Three hitters emerge as top home run picks across these key matchups, sorted by strength:
- Rangers vs. Angels
- Dodgers vs. Reds
- Royals vs. Braves
Overall, Tuesday's odds are priced at +480, +600, and +675. Let's check 'em out!
MLB Home Run Odds: Model Best Bets for 7/29
Home Run Pick for Tuesday: Josh Jung
Leading the way is Rangers’ Josh Jung, who currently holds +600 odds at FanDuel to homer against the Angels. Our proprietary projections give Jung a projected home run rate of approximately 0.23. This translates to about a 6.3% edge over the betting market.
The game location further boosts Jung’s advantage. Although he typically hits home games at Globe Life Field —ranked as the second-worst park for right-handed home runs this season— tonight's game is at Angel Stadium, which ranks fourth.
Home Run Pick for Tuesday: Mookie Betts
Also popping in our home run models is Mookie Betts of the Dodgers, priced +480 at FanDuel against the Reds. Despite a slower start this season, Betts draws a favorable matchup in a hitter-friendly environment.
Home Run Pick for Tuesday: Vinnie Pasquantino
Lastly, Royals’ left-hander Vinnie Pasquantino presents value at +675 (BetMGM). While Kauffman Stadium is generally tough for lefties, tonight’s game is at Truist Park in Atlanta, which ranks highly for left-handed power.
Our PRO Projections assign Pasquantino a 0.20 home run rate, offering a 5.2% edge over the market.
